I am not gloomy, I am pessimistic, (perhaps with patience and time you will learn the difference) and here is why; you wanted polls, here they are and remember it is not the horse race but the approval polls which bode ill for Bush:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/polls.html
Which of these polls do you want to rest your optimism upon?
Pardon my continued amusement that you make statements such as these after accusing me of condescension just because I said, "Be happy." Not able to see the log in your own eye, apparently.
My optimistism rests on the fact that many of those polls are improperly taken, and weighted heavily toward Democrats, and in spite of that, Bush is winning in most, and has extremely high personal approval numbers.
My optimism rests on the fact that 80% of Bush's base (that would not be you) STRONGLY supports his reelection, while Kerry's 'base' consists of Bush haters and not Kerry supporters.
My optimism rests on the organization and hard work going on in the Bush grassroots campaign.
And my optimism rests on the fact that it is early July, the economy is strong, and improving, Iraq is settling, Bush is ahead in the electoral college polls, and the President is campaigning with vigor, strength and humor, while maintaining the dignity of the office of the presidency.
That, plus the fact that Kerry is a dweeb, and eventually the American people will find that out no matter how hard he tries to hide it, and that Edwards is a positively stupid choice for a VP.
But Kerry DID base his decision on the polls, so you and he are in agreement that they're valid ........
God's faithfulness.
HIS servant is in the White House, and HIS people are praying.