i UNDERSTAND your reasonable perspective.
I do suspect that there are differences in contingencies, evidence, intel which MAY WELL MEAN MORE STARTLING, AWESOME possibilities each time.
One would HOPE that their data collection improved with time.
One could reasonably assume that terrorist activity was worsening, building up over time.
What phrases would you suggest?
How would you warn responsibly yet avoid the 'cry wolf' thing?
Quick link to the translation about the 30 days food & water?
Please?