Posted on 06/29/2004 7:00:20 PM PDT by churchillbuff
With the benefit of minute hindsight, Saddam Hussein wasnt the kind of extra-territorial menace that was assumed by the administration one year ago. If I knew then what I know now about what kind of situation we would be in, I would have opposed the war.
Those words are William F. Buckleys, from an article in yesterdays New York Times marking Buckleys decision to relinquish control of the National Review, the flagship journal of the conservative movement he founded 50 years ago.
Also out on the newsstands now, in The Atlantic Monthly, is an essay Buckley wrote describing his decision to give up sailing after a lifetime covering the worlds oceans and writing about it.
Mortality is the backdrop of both decisions, as the 78-year-old Buckley explains. In the Atlantic essay he describes his decision to abandon the sea as one of assessing whether the ratio of pleasure to effort [is] holding its own [in sailing]? Or is effort creeping up, pleasure down? deciding that the time has come to [give up sailing] and forfeit all that is not lightly done brings to mind the step yet ahead, which is giving up life itself.
There is certainly no shortage today of people saying the Iraq venture was wrongheaded. But Bill Buckley is Bill Buckley. And perhaps it is uniquely possible for a man at the summit or the sunset of life choose your metaphor to state so crisply and precisely what a clear majority of the American public has already decided (54 percent according to the latest Gallup poll): that the presidents Iraq venture was a mistake.
So with the formal end of the occupation now behind us, lets take stock of the arguments for war and see whether any of them any longer hold up.
The threat of weapons of mass destruction (WMD).
To the best of our knowledge, the Hussein regime had no stockpiles of WMD on the eve of the war nor any ongoing programs to create them. An article this week in the Financial Times claims that Iraq really was trying to buy uranium from Niger despite all the evidence to the contrary. But new evidence appears merely to be unsubstantiated raw intelligence that was wisely discounted by our intelligence agencies at the time.
Advocates of the war still claim that Saddam had WMD programs. But they can do so only by using a comically elastic definition of program that never would have passed the laugh test if attempted prior to the war.
The Iraq-al Qaeda link.
To the best of our knowledge, the Hussein regime had no meaningful or as the recent Sept. 11 Commission staff report put it, collaborative relationship with al Qaeda. In this case too, theres still a debate. Every couple of months we hear of a new finding that someone who may have had a tie to Saddam may have met with someone connected to al Qaeda.
But as in the case of WMD, its really mock debate, more of a word game than a serious, open question, and a rather baroque one at that. Mostly, its not an evidentiary search but an exercise in finding out whether a few random meetings can be rhetorically leveraged into a relationship. If it can, supposedly, a rationale for war is thus salvaged.
The humanitarian argument for the war remains potent in as much as Saddams regime was ruthlessly repressive. But in itself this never would have been an adequate argument to drive the American people to war and, not surprisingly, the administration never made much of it before its other rationales fell apart.
The broader aim of stimulating a liberalizing and democratizing trend in the Middle East remains an open question but largely because it rests on unknowables about the future rather than facts that can be proved or disproved about the past. From the vantage point of today, there seems little doubt that the war was destabilizing in the short run or that it has strengthened the hands of radicals in countries like Iran and, arguably though less clearly, Saudi Arabia. The best one can say about the prospects for democracy in Iraq itself is that there are some hopeful signs, but the overall outlook seems extremely iffy.
Surveying the whole political landscape, it is clear that a large factor in keeping support for the war as high as it is is the deep partisan political divide in the country, which makes opposing the war tantamount to opposing its author, President Bush, a step most Republicans simply arent willing to take.
At a certain point, for many, conflicts become self-justifying. We fight our enemies because our enemies are fighting us, quite apart from whether we should have gotten ourselves into the quarrel in the first place.
But picking apart the reasons why we got into Iraq in the first place and comparing what the administration said in 2002 with what we know in 2004, it is increasingly difficult not to conclude, as a majority of the American public and that founding father of modern conservatism have now concluded, that the whole enterprise was a mistake.
Talk about beating a dead dog!
Agreed. His should not be ripping off Winston Churchill. He is glomming onto a man who knew how to inspire and how to fight a war. His name should be "buff"
Let's take up a collection for a plastic blow up doll. These are also great if he wants to drive in the HOV lane.
Much more suiting.
Will you get any royalties for your ghost writing duties?
chamberpot n : a receptacle for urination or defecation in the bedroom [syn: potty, thunder mug]
"Thunder mug?"
LOL
Yeah, I liked that one too.
LOL! Chamberpot does think that what he posts on FR does not stink.
Our troops in Afghanistan, haven't forgotten about Osama, and neither have many of us. Attacking both Afghanistan and the enabling country of Iraq was absolutely necessary, and sent a message to terrorists and terrorist nations everywhere that America was serious about defeating them.
There isn't a doubt in my mind that FINALLY holding Iraq accountable for all their broken agreements made as a result of the Gulf War, it weakened both the will and the ability of the terrorists to continue to garner financial and other support and to organize efforts against the United States. History will prove you wrong.
I say this as a person who opposed the Gulf War. However, once we were there, I wanted to win and in fact believe that we withdrew too early, which is one of the reasons we had to go back a second time. The latter part of that comment, interestingly, was a point also made recently by the current President Bush.
Also, once that war began I stopped publicly(on talk radio)but not privately, arguing against the war. It is clear to me, from the Viet Nam War, what such disagreements do to the morale of our soldiers.
In a way you are telling our soldiers that the the loss of lives and injuries they have suffered, as well as the many sacrifices they and their families made/make, are in vain.
It is not legal for an illegal alien to marry a citizen for the purpose of circumventing immigration laws.
Let me know!
Cheers!
Patty
References provided upon request.
I'm not surprised. It won't be long before our beloved Federal government mandates when we can go to the bathroom.
I am sure once the war began it was easy to drive those trucks right into Syria. What say ye?
Oh, I love that picture! Thanks for posting it!
Ding! Ding! Ding!
Move to the head of the class!
:-)
Do ya think his wife will lead Buckley around to Democrat venues this year, like Brady's wife has been doing since he got shot in the head?
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