Refugees?
Or...conscripts?
It didn't work for Ayman. That Gangikhel Valley north of Shkin is too flat and too wide, and anything crossing it spends too much time in the viewfinder.
It's a numbers game. If he looks like all the rest, no shiny new Toyota SUV, no white robes, and if he's lucky and is one of the ones who doesn't get stopped, he might make it.
Bin Laden had the better approach, a small party and a seam. You can't shoot what you never see, but you sure can shoot all that you see if you can dial up carriers and TLAMs on the sat phone without drawing Hellfires. Trying to overwhelm US firepower isn't a wise move.
Mr. Z, meet Mr. CBU.
Still sure this is the big rush. No reports have Paks in the valley yet. The military has deceived us before, claiming that Shakai was twenty clicks west of Wana for almost a week, but the word got out eventually, and it will if the Paks are much deeper than has been reported too.
People talk, and time will tell.