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I predict a nail biter, just like last time. Too many voters who won't vote for one candidate or the other under any circumstances. A whole lot of people have already made up their minds, and nothing from Iraq or on the economic front is going to sway them at this point. The country is much more polarized now than in 1980.

Maybe you're right, but I believe that number for Kerry is significantly lower than for Bush. Bush's support among his base is solid, not so for Kerry. Many democrats plan to vote for Bush. Have you heard of any Republicans who intend to vote for Kerry? It's only a guessing game until the actual election results are tabulated, but I think it will break strongly in President Bush's favor.

Maybe you're right, but I believe that number for Kerry is significantly lower than for Bush

You are correct. Rasmussen finds that only 39% will not vote for Bush under any circumstances, while 49% won't vote for Kerry under any circumstances. With figures like that, it's going to be a very hard sell for Kerry indeed.