Posted on 06/02/2004 12:55:12 PM PDT by pookie18
Hours before NBC Nightly News anchor Tom Brokaw on Tuesday evening managed to cast a booming real estate numbers in a negative light, CBS Marketwatch.com posted a column by Chris Pummer castigating the media for excessive negativity on the economy. “To hear Big Media tell it,” Pummer contended, “the U.S. economy is in a fragile state of 'recovery’ that threatens to be undermined at any moment, by rising interest rates, by soaring gas prices, by another terrorist attack.”
“In fact,” Pummer maintained, “the economy has been in a state of rip-roaring 'expansion’ -- the strongest in 20 years -- yet the media persists in painting a dreary picture.”
Indeed, here’s how Brokaw plugged an upcoming story on Tuesday evening’s NBC Nightly News: “Still ahead tonight: NBC News 'In Depth.' Housing prices going through the roof. It's a seller's market, but who can afford to buy?”
Recent CyberAlert items documenting how the networks emphasize the negative on the economy:
-- May 28. On Monday night, the NBC Nightly News found the time to falsely claim gas prices hit a new “record” price and for reporter Anne Thompson to focus a full story on the “ripple effects of two dollar gas,” including a Meals on Wheels official in Spokane who offered a dire warning that since volunteer drivers can’t afford gas, “my fear is that seniors will go hungry.” Thompson maintained that is “a growing problem for Meals on Wheels programs nationwide.” But on Thursday night, after the Commerce Department revised upward the first quarter GDP growth number to 4.4 percent, from 4.2 percent, the NBC Nightly News didn’t utter a syllable about the good news. ABC and CBS noted the GDP jump, but gave it short-shrift compared to Monday’s gas price coverage. See: www.mediaresearch.org
-- After Friday's government announcement that 288,000 more jobs were created in April, reducing the unemployment rate by a point to 5.6 percent as job creation numbers for February and March were revised upward, Richard J. DeKaser, chief economist at the National City Corporation in Cleveland, told the New York Times: "You'd be hard-pressed to find a dark lining in this cloud." But ABC News managed to as anchor Peter Jennings asserted: "When you look at the kind of work people are getting, however, the news is a little less encouraging." ABC's downbeat story focused on service sector jobs and those who are "underemployed." www.mediaresearch.org
-- April 30. Good news, but. NBC’s Tom Brokaw on Thursday night highlighted how “the government reported today that GDP grew at an annual rate of 4.2 percent in the first quarter of this year,” but he then added an ominous “but” as he warned, “but there are also growing fears tonight that the good news may have a dark side.” That dark side, as outlined in a full story by Anne Thompson: potential interest rate hikes and inflation -- as illustrated by the price of nails. See: www.mediaresearch.org
-- April 22. Dour ABC. CBS’s Anthony Mason on Wednesday night relayed how Federal Reserve Board Chairman Alan Greenspan told a congressional committee that “the economy is vigorous and robust” and NBC’s Tom Brokaw reported how Greenspan maintained “the economic recovery now has good momentum and that employers will have no choice but to hire more workers soon.” But ABC anchor Charles Gibson led his short item on a downbeat note: “At a congressional hearing today, a caution about interest rates.” www.mediaresearch.org
-- April 5. The Labor Department made up phoney unemployment numbers to help the Bush campaign? NBC Nightly News anchor Brian Williams gave credence to such a theory on Friday night as he introduced a story, on how 300,000 jobs were created in March, by reporting that “today’s announcement was such a badly needed shot in the arm for the Bush administration -- and was such good news -- some thought the numbers were too good to be true.” And ABC couldn’t let the good news go unchallenged for long. The next night, ABC looked at an accountant forced to drive a cab. See: www.mediaresearch.org
Now an excerpt from Pummer’s June 1 posting, “It's the expansion, stupid; Commentary: Media miscasts economy's state,” on the site of MarketWatch, a San Francisco-based public company which is not part of CBS or CBS News. CBS, however, owns about 25 percent of MarketWatch.com and so MarketWatch.com ties itself to CBS, by calling itself CBS MarketWatch, in order to raise its profile. As part of their business relationship, MarketWatch.com provides business news for CBS News programs.
Romenesko (www.poynter.org) on Tuesday’s highlighted Pummer’s piece.
The excerpt from the column by Chris Pummer, Assistant Managing Editor of CBS MarketWatch.com:
...."I don't know how much is agenda and how much is ignorance or just lemming-type journalism," said Comerica Bank Chief Economist David Littmann, who's tracked the economy for 40 years. "We're in a mini-boom, and to characterize it as a recovery is to diminish it."
This isn't nitpicking, mind you. The media is a powerful influence on how we view ourselves, and refusing to come around to substituting one word for another is depressing the national mood.
Think about it: An expansion implies strength and virility, while recovery suggests lingering weakness -- the stroke victim in therapy for paralysis, or the reformed alcoholic still at risk of falling off the wagon.
Contrary to what conservatives might suspect, the media's dim view isn't due to a liberal conspiracy to derail President Bush's reelection. The personal politics of journalists overall may be a few degrees left of center, but business journalists on the whole are fairly centrist. I consider myself a compassionate moderate.
No, the driving force here is altogether different. Namely, as a sage editor of mine used to say, "Don't blame on malice what can best be attributed to incompetence."...
The National Bureau of Economic Research since has emerged as the brain trust the media now relies on for calling recessions. Yet the NBER doesn't even use the word "recovery." By its terminology, an expansion begins once a recession ends, and it says we've been in one since November 2001.
If that's not sufficient proof, try these measures on for size:
* The nation's GDP grew 4.4 percent in the first quarter of 2004, capping its biggest 12-month gain since 1984. By most forecasts, GDP this year is expected to grow 4.7 percent -- the best calendar-year performance in two decades, surpassing even our longed-for 1999.
* The economy has created more than 1.1 million jobs since last August, with unemployment falling to 5.6 percent in April. That rate was lower, by a hair, in only two of 22 years from 1974-to-1995 -- 5.5 percent in 1988 and 5.3 percent in 1989.
* Home ownership reached a record-high 68.6 percent in first quarter of this year -- up nearly 5 percentage points in the last decade
Yet the major media clings to the word "recovery" like a malpractice-fearing doctor too afraid to offer an optimistic prognosis to family members. For instance:
* A May 19 Wall Street Journal story on a speech by Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank President Anthony Santomero said he expects inflation to remain contained during "the U.S. economic recovery." (The Journal's words)
* A May 15 New York Times story on Money magazine naming a new editor said: "By this time in the recovery, most people can at least bear to open their 401(k) statements..."
* A May 18 Reuters story carried on NYT.com, the Times' Web site, said: "Mortgage rates dipped to near 40-year lows in the first few months of 2004, but have risen in recent weeks as signs of the U.S. economic recovery have solidified..." ...
When I alerted my boss to his use of the word "recovery" in a TV interview about rising oil prices, and its use by one of our columnists, he said: "You wouldn't call it an expansion if you were one of the people still unemployed."
Therein lies the root of the error.
Those who think we're still in a recovery apparently won't change their view until we return to the record-low 3.8 percent unemployment we enjoyed for a fleeting moment in 2000 during the most prosperous economy in history.
That's like not recognizing a bull market until the Nasdaq surpasses 5,000 again. I'd bet my retirement savings no one alive in the U.S. today will ever see sub-4 percent joblessness again, and here's why.
For decades, economists considered 4.5 percent "full employment," so the U.S. entered a labor-market utopia when we dropped far below that. But 3.8 percent didn't reflect real production needs. It reflected a gross overcapacity of human resources, as employers with delirious growth expectations rushed to net the little talent left in a labor pool then shallower than a sidewalk puddle after a light summer rain....
END of Excerpt
For the Piece by Pummer in full: cbs.marketwatch.com
IMO, the media may be only helping the Bush Admin. As a financial markets trader, we often kick around the saying,"the markets climb a 'wall of worry' and fall on a 'slope of hope'". As a contrarian,myself, there is a lot of credence to this saying. The more they downplay the economy, the more potential there is for a market climb. I think we should make new highs before Nov. I think we should make new lows first, though, in the weeks to come.
bump for later discussion
The poor democrat dogs MUST be getting kicked by their owners when this good economic news comes out night after night.
Housing prices going through the roof. It's a seller's market, but who can afford to buy?
If there weren’t people who could afford to buy, housing prices wouldn’t be going through the roof, you ignorant mumbling jackass.
“Still ahead tonight: NBC News 'In Depth.' Housing prices going through the roof. It's a seller's market, but who can afford to buy?”
Ummmm, I know that economics is not exactly the Nightly News' strong suit, but someone should explain to them that, for every single one of those housing prices in the survey, there was A BUYER. In order for it to be a seller's market, there have to be A LOT OF BUYERS. Otherwise it would be A BUYERS MARKET.
I'm willing to let a little 'good news is bad news' stuff go by on the whole 'buy the rumor, sell the news' contrarian philosophy, but the level of pure economic illiteracy is just staggering.
The largest tractor that my company makes (over 500 HP) is sold out through December of this year. The average sales price is about $250,000 each.
Bad economy? I think NOT!
Indeed I tremble for my country when I reflect that God is just... Thomas Jefferson)
Re: The 5 month recession of 1991 - In early 1992 I was in a position where I reviewed weekly retail sales from around the country. It was clear in that 1st quarter of 1992 that the economy had turned around. I read the NYT daily in 1992 and it continuosly referred to the recession in both the front page and the Business section. Without exageration the first NYT notice that the recession had ended appeared at the end of November 1992. Unfortunate timing for the first Pres. Bush. The point is it is amazing how long they can drag out the bad news.
I don't take such a sanguine view of the media. They were proclaiming that the economy was fabulous under Clinton. The media went along with Clinton's 1992 claims that the economy under George Bush Sr. was the worst in 50 years. That is NOT just incompetence, that is active partisanship to help the Democrats. And the day AFTER the election, Peter Jennings announced that the US had just experienced its 6th month of economic growth. But I didn't hear ANYTHING positive from him in the 5 previous months. Incompetence, yes; but the media is partisan toward Democrats, and nothing that this guy writes can convince me otherwise.
It's not amazing. It's on pupose. Let's see, what happened in early November 1992? Why Bill Clinton was elected! So, away with the bad economic news! Away with the stories on poverty and the homeless! The Democrats are back in charge!
Ah yes. The homeless came back in vogue once a Republican was back in the White House.
Hallelujah, someone who understands real estate prices.....if they couldn't afford to buy, the prices would be dropping. Evidently the problem is "he" couldn't afford the house he wanted so the whole market was in trouble.
Chuckles - VERY TRUE -
I just bought a house. Who can afford to buy? I can, because the interest rates are low and the bar for entry for credit is low. I can afford the payments by being just slightly more frugal.
Realistically a market correction is in order for the housing market.
Another issue is that now more than 50% of the population has a stake in the stock market. People will look at their 401K statements and see steady growth. Again, that's not something the media can hide from them.
Good. Now if CBS Marketwatch can just get in touch with their own Dan Rather and explain this to him....:o)
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