I'm still waiting for you to explain why you think the Democrats will retake the Senate. I'd be willing to bet you a $50 contribution to FR that they won't.
Senate control is not to be taken for granted, IMO.
But what the hey, some people thought that hitler wouldn't invade Poland after the Munich accord of 1938.
"Peace in our time" piece of paper being flailed by Chamberlain, yada, yada, yada.