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I'm not sure that this is a projection of where things will be in November, but I think it will do a good job of showing overall trends as we get close to November.

But you are right, it is a snapshot, but it isn't exactly a snapshot. As with any such analysis, accuracy will increase with time because more data will be available.

This is where he states the election is Now. I check This Site along with Dale's and Election projections (this has not been updated in a while).

Here's what I think. Zogby got it WRONG in 2000. THe last minute DUI and the lack of GOP Get out the vote made his prediction correct. Since then there are no more DUI's in Bush's record and the GOP has sucessfully implemented their 72 hour program in 2002 and will repeat it this year.

Lieberman practically moving to FL made it close due to ethic pride from the NY transplanted Jews. This will not happen in 2004 and Jeb won huge.

I'm predicting Bush get 325+. I may revise this based on how the campaigns are being run, but this is where I think the election stands now.