In 3-day data... it's 48% to 48%. In 2-day data (excluding Friday, including just Saturday and Sunday), Toomey is up by 2. Contest has taken on life of its own, with significance beyond PA: If Specter backers are newly awakened to possibility of defeat, and they vote, Specter wins. If turnout is customary or close to it, Toomey wins. Toomey supporters have stronger convictions.