How long do you figure?
I'm thinking fall-winter 2008-09
I'm thinking fall-winter 2008-09
My guess? It'll be event driven, following a period of escalation by either side that's already begun. That Fall-Winter 2008-'09 estimate could be spot-on if the results of the '08 election are sufficiently disappointing to either side, or if there's an economic crisis in the intirim. Another terrorist attack with casualties in the thousands could do it too. That's the long view.
On the shorter side of things, it could begin in about 154 days.