[Dales]

I stand corrected.

[ken5050]

Excellent, as always, and thanks for your efforts....your analysis is superb on its own. I always print it out, and whenever I come across a poll reference in the papers of on the tube, I'll often refer over to your data and analysis to see it in context..

Re New Jersey, you're correct in your basic assessment that the state in trending Democrat the last decade. However, whenever the Dem Machine in Trenton really screws things up, as McGreevey is doing now, the voters often show their displeasure at the next election. And more to the point, they tend to keep their resentment well concealed to polsters..The two best examples..How virtually unknown Jeff Bell came within a whisker of knocking off Bill Bradley, and more recently, when Florio got dumped..the final results in both races were way off from the last pols taken...