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A Soapbox Derby for the War-Games Set
NY Times ^ | March 14, 2004 | JOHN MARKOFFand JOHN M. BRODER

Posted on 03/13/2004 10:50:58 PM PST by neverdem

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To: SLB; Cannoneer No. 4
My understanding of how DARPA works is that they do high-dollar short timeframe stuff to help get technology into the hands of soldiers.

Part of what is needed here is a deliberate R&D program to systematically develop the required capabilities.

This is not what goes on, with all the Congressional subcommitees that have their hands in the DoD budget pie.

41 posted on 03/14/2004 7:48:27 AM PST by sauropod (I intend to have Red Kerry choke on his past.)
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To: SLB
We have executed a couple of robotic vehicle experiments recently.

Amazing. I knew that great strides had been made in artificial intelligence, including a capacity for self-preservation [mandated programmed priorities for recharging power supplies as fuel or battery capacities become discharged, the machine equivalent of *hunger* for instance] but wasn't aware that such emotional value judgements as cowardice in the face of a self-preservation threat had been achieved.

You guys give 'em a cigarette and blindfold before letting them have it?

42 posted on 03/14/2004 8:22:42 AM PST by archy (Concrete shoes, cyanide, TNT! Done dirt cheap! Neckties, contracts, high voltage...Done dirt cheap!)
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To: fini; Ophiucus
Robots are in the infant stage, much like biplanes in WWI. But you are very correct in your concern about machine versus the human

Remember how quickly aviation evolved during WWI and WW2. In 1935 the US Army Air Corps was still using biplanes. In 1945 we had jets.

An autonomous capability is very valuable, when coupled with the ability to be remote controlled. One operator could control multiple vehicles, only needing to be involved when it ran into trouble or saw something unusual.

Visualize a vehicle having a smart auto-pilot that will allow it to safely move while the driver gets some rest.

Visualize combat where the controller just has to switch to vehicle A's visuals, confirm that it does see enemy, tell it to open fire, and switches to vehicle's b,c,d, and E while vehicle A enters the fight

43 posted on 03/14/2004 8:26:21 AM PST by SauronOfMordor (No anchovies!)
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To: dts32041
Gee think of that dumba## expenditure by ARPA in 1969 about 100,000 USD, that was to allow non compatible computers to communicate over vast distances, had never been spent.

Wonder if you would still be using Free Republic?

Almost certainly. At least those of us with TTY teletype equipment and Angry-9 or AN/VRC-7 radios in the shelters set up in the *communications spaces* carried aboard 5-ton trucks.

There might even be some so communicating via postal mail. Even in the days of railroad telegraphy, there were *chat lines* and over-the-wire very personal communications between OPs. Ham radio operators have also noted similar communications.


44 posted on 03/14/2004 8:36:46 AM PST by archy (Concrete shoes, cyanide, TNT! Done dirt cheap! Neckties, contracts, high voltage...Done dirt cheap!)
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To: archy
To get the Marines attention and respect, upscale the devices until those opposing them have no choice but to meet them with awe.

To get Marines attention and respect, equip the vehicles with weaponry (simulated in training) and visual processing and reaction time that allows them to "kill" a man as soon as he comes into sight, before the human has a chance to notice there's something there.

An unarmed 2-foot beetle on a mowed lawn is one thing. An armed 2-foot beetle hiding in heavy brush or behind some rubble is a whole 'nother story

45 posted on 03/14/2004 8:38:15 AM PST by SauronOfMordor (No anchovies!)
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To: archy
Yeah but would it be as much fun?
46 posted on 03/14/2004 8:39:38 AM PST by dts32041 ("If its called tourist season how come you can't shoot them?")
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To: Ophiucus
Neca ecos omnes. Deus suos agnoscet

Machines have no god....

Given self-awareness and a bit more intellectual capability, you may see the machines come to feel otherwise about that. That'll depend on your definition of a god, of course. And theirs.

47 posted on 03/14/2004 8:40:04 AM PST by archy (Concrete shoes, cyanide, TNT! Done dirt cheap! Neckties, contracts, high voltage...Done dirt cheap!)
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To: dts32041
Yeah but would it be as much fun?

It's a very different kind and style of fun. But less for the *plug and play* end-user, and more for the very technically skilled operator for whom equipment caretaking is not only a maintenance task and ritual, but for whom troubleshooting is a pleasure in and of itself. The audience would be numbered in the hundreds at best, rather than the thousands.

48 posted on 03/14/2004 8:44:54 AM PST by archy (Concrete shoes, cyanide, TNT! Done dirt cheap! Neckties, contracts, high voltage...Done dirt cheap!)
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To: SauronOfMordor
To get Marines attention and respect, equip the vehicles with weaponry (simulated in training) and visual processing and reaction time that allows them to "kill" a man as soon as he comes into sight, before the human has a chance to notice there's something there.

An unarmed 2-foot beetle on a mowed lawn is one thing. An armed 2-foot beetle hiding in heavy brush or behind some rubble is a whole 'nother story

Just so. Though we had no Marines around the 1970s experiments I was involved in that remotely controlled a tank chassis-mounted AVLB assault bridge from an accompanying vehicle I'd bet they were paying attention to the effort. And there's nothing quite like having 60+ tons of equipment that may or may not be under control to be upgraded on the list of things to be paid attention to, particularly the closer it's proximity becomes.

Instead of an unarmed 2-foot beetle, think a 20-footer. And the armament capability was pretty stratospheric.


49 posted on 03/14/2004 8:59:05 AM PST by archy (Concrete shoes, cyanide, TNT! Done dirt cheap! Neckties, contracts, high voltage...Done dirt cheap!)
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To: archy
You guys give 'em a cigarette and blindfold before letting them have it?

Yep, and a heck of a meal to boot.

50 posted on 03/14/2004 11:09:47 AM PST by SLB ("We must lay before Him what is in us, not what ought to be in us." C. S. Lewis)
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To: archy
Instead of an unarmed 2-foot beetle, think a 20-footer.

I have a feeling that the future is going to involve smaller rather than larger robots. Something big enough to see will not survive long on a future battlefield.

Something small, with sophisticated sensors and communications capability, and the ability to designate targets from concealment for artillery, missiles, and aircraft, may be more lethal over the long run. Particularly if you can have a swarm of hundreds of them crawling around the battle area for the price of one robotic Abrams

51 posted on 03/14/2004 1:11:30 PM PST by SauronOfMordor (No anchovies!)
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To: SauronOfMordor
I have a feeling that the future is going to involve smaller rather than larger robots. Something big enough to see will not survive long on a future battlefield.

Something small, with sophisticated sensors and communications capability, and the ability to designate targets from concealment for artillery, missiles, and aircraft, may be more lethal over the long run. Particularly if you can have a swarm of hundreds of them crawling around the battle area for the price of one robotic Abrams.

Oh can do, even now, with off the shelf technology with a little ordnance applied.

Take some kids' 4-wheel drive off-road sand buggys, add some Soviet PFM-1 *butterfly* mines. to about half, and put chem lights on the other half...with 10-15% getting both. If the terrain calls for it, use a tracked version.

Improve the sensitivity of the receiver and its antenna, and jacking up the transmitter power for control range from a greater distance. Include a sensor like those used on industrial mail robots that stops the robot if it encounters an item weighing in at 50# or more, with a body temp in the 98º range...but in this case it fires the PFM mine off. Charge up the batteries and hit 'em at night....


52 posted on 03/14/2004 3:42:44 PM PST by archy (Concrete shoes, cyanide, TNT! Done dirt cheap! Neckties, contracts, high voltage...Done dirt cheap!)
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To: neverdem
Boeing? Intel? Oshkosh trucks? Elbit?

We can do better than that.

DARPA Challenge

Ghostrider Robot

53 posted on 03/14/2004 6:34:12 PM PST by archy (Concrete shoes, cyanide, TNT! Done dirt cheap! Neckties, contracts, high voltage...Done dirt cheap!)
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To: archy
I,m calling you out on a BS picture - That dune buggy is *not* motorized.

Now I,m gonna hafta go back and scrutinize all those Russian tank phot to spot the *other* fakes. 8*)

BTW - Have I mentioned your pictures are the best, and that this is the first one with the subject parked in my living room? (likely to be the last)

54 posted on 03/14/2004 6:57:20 PM PST by Triple (All forms of socialism deny individuals the right to the fruits of their labor)
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To: sauropod; hellinahandcart; Lil'freeper
Certainly is characteristic of the soapbox derbys that I have been to!

Is this a regular activity for you?!

55 posted on 03/14/2004 7:06:51 PM PST by NYC GOP Chick ("This situation absolutely requires a really futile and stupid gesture be done on somebody's part!")
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To: Triple
I,m calling you out on a BS picture - That dune buggy is *not* motorized.

I think you're correct. I doubt the 14.4 volt electrically powered dune buggies would last the length of the DARPA challenge. A couple of alternative means of propulsion come to mind, but the buggy depicted would do as a chassis for powerplant experimentation. I've got a couple of ideas about a powered tricycle configuration as well.

Now I,m gonna hafta go back and scrutinize all those Russian tank phot to spot the *other* fakes. 8*)

You will indeed find that there are a couple of Russian *fakes* I've slipped in there, including upgraded T-55s rebuilt with T-72 and T-80 components. I wondered if anyone would catch 'em and say anything.

BTW - Have I mentioned your pictures are the best, and that this is the first one with the subject parked in my living room? (likely to be the last)

Very few are photos I've shot- there've been some- but any real talent I have has been as a photo editor, knowing where the good photos can be found.

As to whether one of the photo subjects ever gets into your living room, that depends on how long it takes us to get the T-34 rebuilt and how detailed the directions to your home are....


56 posted on 03/14/2004 7:44:43 PM PST by archy (Concrete shoes, cyanide, TNT! Done dirt cheap! Neckties, contracts, high voltage...Done dirt cheap!)
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To: Triple
I,m calling you out on a BS picture - That dune buggy is *not* motorized.

I think you're correct. I doubt the 14.4 volt electrically powered dune buggies would last the length of the DARPA challenge. A couple of alternative means of propulsion come to mind, but the buggy depicted would do as a chassis for powerplant experimentation. I've got a couple of ideas about a powered tricycle configuration as well.

Now I,m gonna hafta go back and scrutinize all those Russian tank phot to spot the *other* fakes. 8*)

You will indeed find that there are a couple of Russian *fakes* I've slipped in there, including upgraded T-55s rebuilt with T-72 and T-80 components. I wondered if anyone would catch 'em and say anything.

BTW - Have I mentioned your pictures are the best, and that this is the first one with the subject parked in my living room? (likely to be the last)

Very few are photos I've shot- there've been some- but any real talent I have has been as a photo editor, knowing where the good photos can be found.

As to whether one of the photo subjects ever gets into your living room, that depends on how long it takes us to get the T-34 rebuilt and how detailed the directions to your home are....


57 posted on 03/14/2004 7:45:02 PM PST by archy (Concrete shoes, cyanide, TNT! Done dirt cheap! Neckties, contracts, high voltage...Done dirt cheap!)
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To: Triple
I,m calling you out on a BS picture - That dune buggy is *not* motorized.

I think you're correct. I doubt the 14.4 volt electrically powered dune buggies would last the length of the DARPA challenge. A couple of alternative means of propulsion come to mind, but the buggy depicted would do as a chassis for powerplant experimentation. I've got a couple of ideas about a powered tricycle configuration as well.

Now I,m gonna hafta go back and scrutinize all those Russian tank phot to spot the *other* fakes. 8*)

You will indeed find that there are a couple of Russian *fakes* I've slipped in there, including upgraded T-55s rebuilt with T-72 and T-80 components. I wondered if anyone would catch 'em and say anything.

BTW - Have I mentioned your pictures are the best, and that this is the first one with the subject parked in my living room? (likely to be the last)

Very few are photos I've shot- there've been some- but any real talent I have has been as a photo editor, knowing where the good photos can be found.

As to whether one of the photo subjects ever gets into your living room, that depends on how long it takes us to get the T-34 rebuilt and how detailed the directions to your home are....


58 posted on 03/14/2004 7:45:12 PM PST by archy (Concrete shoes, cyanide, TNT! Done dirt cheap! Neckties, contracts, high voltage...Done dirt cheap!)
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To: PRND21
If OJ had that thing, he wouldn't have needed Al Cowlings.
59 posted on 03/14/2004 7:48:43 PM PST by michaelt
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To: archy
Hey, that's my trick.
60 posted on 03/15/2004 7:26:26 AM PST by Triple (All forms of socialism deny individuals the right to the fruits of their labor)
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