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OK, gang..

Here's the $64M question..

IF AQ has nukes..WHY haven't they detonated them yet?

There were some pretty strong statements made about a "backbreaking, order-changing" hit "between the Eids", which has already ended. Then there was that confounded countdown clock, and huge "chatter" complete with pictures of nuke detonations all over the jihadi forums..

I'm inclined to think they DON'T have any, but am also open enough to the possibility that it would be oh so easy to bring ANYTHING into the country today - wide open borders and all.

Something just doesn't add up, but I can't figure it out. (Not trying to be antagonistic to any viewpoints as I myself don't have a handle on which way I really feel about this..but it just all seems so..odd, and something isn't fitting..)

I'll add my 2 cents worth, for what it is worth:

I honestly dont know myself, but I can see how they could have acquired some with the information I have read. I know the Jihad types rant about it constantly.

It doesnt make sense to me that the Jihad types would claim they have them and not have something. They would be asking for their cause to be totally reduced to a laughing stock of historical dimensions. I often wonder if they are acting like Hitler in the last days and are basing the survival of their jihad on the development of "wonder weapons", or if they are using propaganda to instill fear and cause market effect.

I think they are feeling the heat of the US military and need something dramatic to put them back into the fight before they go extinct. Almost beaten enemies are the worst to confront, because they have nothing to lose.

As for why they wouldnt use them, they may have had a war plan to attack in escalating waves. I have seen some evidence of this in terror defendant court testimony.

If they are doing that, it is the largest high stakes poker bluff in recorded history.

There are a million ways they could have one, with Khan, the Soviet "collapse" and unguarded nuclear materials in the former USSR, and a plethoria of other explanations.

I dont rule out technical assistance from former Soviet scientists, Chinese NPA intelligence officers, or a variety of other state sponsors from the usual suspects, as well as the Russian mafia and a variety of underworld sources.

In short, it is possible they have them. I take the threat seriously and hope I am wrong. If I am, I will gladly buy the beer at the end of the war and admit I am wrong.

Right now there is no way to tell.