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To: aquaculture
Musgrove (and the 3rd party candidates) would need about 64% of the remaining votes to knock Barbour down to 50%. I'm sure there are areas of Mississippi where democrats expect to pull 64% of the vote. Whether those are the unreported precincts, who knows?
1,902 posted on 11/04/2003 10:35:48 PM PST by Moosilauke
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To: Moosilauke
There are 354 precincts out, according to the Ledger's site.

104 of those are in Hinds. The 62 boxes in in that county averaged about 262 votes per box so if thats projected out you come up with something over 27,000 votes out and if they went 3 to 1 for Musgorve *which they certainly won't) he can add some 20K there.

There are no returns from Attala 9likely about evenly split), Benton (heavily Dim but lightly populated), Walthall and Wayne (and I know nothing about those two) and those 4 counties total 98 precincts.
That leaves 152 scattered precints and there is little way to predict what parts of the county they are in and what sort of voters live there.

But look at it like this, there's now 93% in (that's newer than the Ledger numbers above) and Barbour is up by almost 63,000 votes.

So if one presumes that 93% of the VOTE is in and not just the pricincts, then there's only about 60K votes out so we are pretty much at the point where he'd have to get ALL the remaining votes to knock Barbour under 50%

You can relax.

2,030 posted on 11/04/2003 11:05:49 PM PST by WillRain
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