[Torie]

Ya, but the swing away from Bush was only 4%, and Musgrave needs an overall swing statewide away from Bush of 7%. I would be surprised if the drop turnout in DeSoto was more than the drop in turnout statewide vis a vis 2000.

[Holden Magroin]

True...Plus, voter turnout is higher during presidential races.

[wylenetheconservative]

I think Musgrove performed much better in 1999 in DeSoto than he has tonight. I haven't actually checked totals from 1999, but the people here tell me that the county was more RAT back then before all the white flight from Memphis.