Posted on 10/07/2020 7:48:10 AM PDT by ConservativeMind
Elections for all 435 U.S. House seats will take place in 2020. Ballotpedia has identified 41 of the 435 House races (9.4%) as battlegrounds. Of the 41 seats, 20 have Democratic incumbents, 20 have Republican incumbents, and one has a Libertarian incumbent.
These battleground districts were selected by examining the 2018 winner's margin of victory, the results of the 2016 presidential election in the district, whether the incumbent is seeking re-election, and whether the incumbent is serving his or her first term in Congress. Race ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections with Nathan Gonzales were also considered. For more information on our methodology, click here.
Races may also be identified as battleground races for other compelling or meaningful reasons, such as significant levels of satellite spending or influencer endorsements, coinciding with a change in district lines, or their potential impact on intraparty divisions.
As of October 2020, Democrats have a 232-197 advantage over Republicans. There is one Libertarian member, and there are five vacancies. The following are some factors that could influence the outcome of the 2020 House elections:
(Excerpt) Read more at ballotpedia.org ...
Please consider helping the Republican in each matchup, unless the prior vote was strongly Republican already (one can assume such candidates will win again unless mass relocation of voters has occurred.)
I am sticking with Senate D+6 and House D+15.
No way, “Ray Of Sunshine.”
We will gain quite a few in the House and at least stay in control of the Senate.
Conor Lamb is the key. Pretty boy. Future Senator. needs to be nipped in the bud. Unfortunately our guy isn’t pretty enough. Lamb won by 12% and trump won the district in 16’.
Stay negative
Senate D+6 , House D+15
So, you see massive R losses in the senate (10 of ‘em), but 30 R seats gained in the house ?
I’d love to hear that analysis...on second thought, never mind.
I’m speaking only for Minnesota but we have a good chance of picking up a seat there.
The 7th Congressional District (basically all of western Minnesota) is GOP but the seat is held by a former Blue Dog Dem named Colin Peterson. He’s been in that seat since 1990. He tries to act moderate and while he did vote against impeachment, he does vote with Pelosi about 80% of the time. His margins have been narrowing for some time now. The 7th District gave Trump a 15 point win back in 2016.
The GOP does have a top tier candidate in Michelle Fischbach. She’s a former state senator and former Lt Governor.
www.fischbachforcongress.com
I’m guessing we lose Indiana’s 5th, my district. Hamilton County, the most populated County in the district, has been turning bluer with the influx of White, college educated, techy types, and upper middle class blacks have been moving into the NE Indianapolis part of the district in droves over the last few years. I’m sure it’s gone. The media will call it early as an indication Trump is in trouble when in actuality it is just a change in demographics. So don’t freak when you see that. Of it’s not called early I think that bodes well for our side.
But I think we gain the Grand Rapids, MI district of the turncoat. Other than that I don’t know.
In an off year election when R's stay home like in 2018? Sure, they did fine. In 2016 they were trash when R's came out to vote.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.