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To: Owen

The exit polls as they relate to the victor can be wrong given the huge numbers voting early or by mail. The other data seem to correlate to the actual result. Do you think blacks voted overwhelmingly for Hillary? Latinos? Do you think whites voted overwhelmingly for Trump? What data contained in the exit polls are wrong?


130 posted on 12/01/2016 2:03:47 PM PST by kabar
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To: kabar

Nah, though that’s a good try. Luntz and the rest had the partisan mix of the early votes cast. The conclusions had those built in.

As for do I think blacks voted heavily Hillary. Wrong question. The assertion is blacks Trump/Hillary ratio was different than for Obama/Romney. Or Latinos less heavily than for Obama than for Clinton.

That data is not there. You don’t know who they voted for because the exit polls were incorrect. Early votes had known party mix. They could not corrupt the conclusions.

Andddddddd now that you brought them up, there is no proof people who voted Nov 8 had the same attitudes as those who voted early, so declaring internals from the exit polls as a measurement of the electorate is even more invalid.


131 posted on 12/01/2016 2:29:02 PM PST by Owen
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