The REP lead in absentee ballots is now 2.5%. If things continue like this, I’ll have to raise my target above 3.0%!
Stunned that DEMs haven’t taken the lead in combined voting. Looking good so far...
Folks, go VOTE!
When does the early-in-person voting end in Florida?
So far, Republicans are holding their own in early voting. As you said, at the end of early voting in 2012, Democrats held a large lead (combined absentee and early vote). So far, Republicans are slightly ahead.
We will have to monitor this more. About 2 million votes have already been cast (about 25% of the total vote in 2012). If this pattern holds, you are looking at basically an R=D turnout, or maybe a slight D lead. That would make all of the polling to date virtually useless, which assumes a significant D advantage.
by God you are right. It will go above 3.
Methinks a fair amount of GOP voters are voting early which is awesome just in case something happens election day and you can’t make it.