Posted on 09/29/2016 7:44:36 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
Here’s a link to RCP which shows them
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/us/general_election_romney_vs_obama-1171.html
Yeah but I think even McGovern stopped being McGovern guy when he retired and tried to start a bed and breakfast.
The further out from the election, the more likely the polls are complete crap. As we get closer, the pollsters will slowly gravitate to the accurate truth. None of them want a corporate image of being unable to predict elections....bad for the image, and too much future revenue at stake.
The reason so many liberals fought bravely in WW2, was because their hero nation the USSR was attacked by National Socialist Germany.
This.
See the link at post 37
Neighbors had Obama sign up for him. It’s still in their garage. NO hilldabeast sign. This is a mixed neighborhood with a lot of retired Military.
Small rural community, most political signs are for local or State races. And they don’t have party on them.
I’ve seen a few Trump signs in a few yards, most are on HWY 51 in the Medians. Most just the typical yard sign not the big ones.
He’s being honest. 2012 models are IMHO a joke but that’s where most polling is at. What will 2016 models be? They don’t know, and at least he’s being honest enough to say it.
If you assume a 2012 model you get a very different outcome than if you assume 2016 will see democratic turnout way down and republican turnout up.. And you start to include disenfranchised voters who will show up for Trump.
2012 model, relatively tight race... Start to make assumptions like depressed D turnout and other things Trump blows it away.
Well put.
There might be more Trump Democrats than there were Reagan Democrats.
Thanks for the link. My apologies. I guess it was the Gallup one I remembered and thought the others were similar. So it does appear the polls were correct in the last election, unfortunately.
Yes. I remember that. When he started the B&B, he commented about the high taxes and regulations and how it was killing his business. I almost fainted. In the end, he never really changed, though. I don’t think he was ever able to grasp that concept other than how it affected him.
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