Yes, but isn’t there a chance of one of Nebraska’s EV going to dems? I’m not sure about polling in that district, but I don’t like to ignore that, because it’d make your outcome 269/269.
Nate’s chart gives it a VERY small chance to go Dem. I’d think many other states are likely to flip before it does.
Won’t go Dem. Obama was first D since 1964 to take that point, in historic 2008. He lost in 2012. It’s Trump’s.