That doesnt matter. Sometimes the outcome is obvious. I was certain when Teddy Kennedy chose Obama over Hlllary in 2008 that she was dead in the water. I still think that McCain would have won in 08 except for the crash. As Lincoln said on many occasions: I do not determine events, events determine me.
So you’ve been wrong about Trump up until now, but now you are some kind of expert? Yeah sure. You sound like all the pundits who dismissed Trump and now claim to know what is going to happen. At least Newt has the honesty to say “Far be it from me to give Trump advice. He clearly knows what he’s doing more than I do”.