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Conventional Wisdom: Is Cruz stealing delegates from Trump?
The Weekly Standard ^ | The April 25, 2016 Issue | Jay Cost

Posted on 04/15/2016 2:18:44 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

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To: Savage Rider
If Trump’s ground game is to destroy the integrity of the Republican party, then yes, I do not like that.

Seems to include challenging the integrity of some aspects of the Republican party. As to destroying this integrity, let us consider a thought experiment. What if the Republican party magically and suddenly conceded to all his challenges. It seems to me the results would be that:

* Republican politicians would no longer do favors for big campaign donors.
* Delegate slots won by a candidate would always be filled by delegates loyal to that candidate, and never assigned by the candidate's political enemies.
* Republican primaries and caucuses would be organized in a way conducive to broad participation by Republicans in the state.
* If at the convention a candidate has a significant lead, but only a plurality that is close to a majority, and polling indicates they would have had a majority in a two candidate race, then delegates who are unbound should come together to support the leading candidate in the interest of party unity and respect to the voters.

Albeit, these things would be favorable to Trump in the current election cycle. Perhaps he could challenge other things not as favorable to him. But putting the particulars of this election cycle aside, by themselves it seems to me that they would strengthen the integrity of the Republican party and certainly would not destroy it.

81 posted on 04/15/2016 7:01:21 PM PDT by AndyTheBear
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To: AndyTheBear

What I am saying is Cruz did not make the rules. Had no control over what they did. He played by their rules and won. You can skirt around it all you want but Trump did not do any of that. He just thought he would skate in there and scoop the delegates for himself and when that didn’t happen he cried foul when there was none. It showed his incompetence and he threw a fit. If it had turned out favorably for him you wouldn’t have heard a peep from him. And he still turns my stomach. I do not want him as my President.


82 posted on 04/15/2016 7:55:15 PM PDT by buckeye49
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To: ShivaFan

All registered Colorado republicans were allowed to vote at their precinct convention and advance to the next levels. Those who show up elect the delegates at each level. I don’t hear people complaining about the Nevada Caucus which isn’t much different.


83 posted on 04/15/2016 8:23:00 PM PDT by DrewsDad (Choose Cruz - The Consistent Constitutional Conservative)
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To: buckeye49

It’s little use to complain about someone being allowed to complain. Nor is it very convincing to justify a moral proposition by appealing to something other than people’s sense of fairness. Nor is it persuasive to possit one’s own negative feelings for an individual as grounds of determining what is just.


84 posted on 04/15/2016 8:37:13 PM PDT by AndyTheBear
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To: AndyTheBear

You’re right I do have negative feelings about his actions. They are gut feelings. I’ve got to stop paying attention to thus stuff. Be a little more detached. The problem is I don’t see the situation as being unfair. The rules were out there for a long time and the facts of what took place put the lie to the notion of “winning winning” and “all the best and smartest people” and “listening to my self and my great brain”. It seems to me that he jumped into this thing on a whim, unprepared. There will be nobody to sue if things go wrong on the world stage, and we will be the ones paying the price for his screwups.


85 posted on 04/16/2016 4:03:14 AM PDT by buckeye49
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To: Savage Rider

You’re on the wrong side of the issue.


86 posted on 04/16/2016 7:14:19 AM PDT by Balding_Eagle ( The Great Wall of Trump ---- 100% sealing of the border. Coming soon.)
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To: Balding_Eagle

Says you.


87 posted on 04/16/2016 7:17:45 AM PDT by Savage Rider
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To: Savage Rider

History will repeat what I say in a year or two.

You are simply a tyrant.


88 posted on 04/16/2016 7:20:23 AM PDT by Balding_Eagle ( The Great Wall of Trump ---- 100% sealing of the border. Coming soon.)
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To: Balding_Eagle

Says you in the predictable manner of name-calling.


89 posted on 04/16/2016 7:52:37 AM PDT by Savage Rider
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To: Pollster1
And Cruz's support is about 25%, that is where he is has generally been in the national polls.

Kasich can't win either even if Cruz dropped out.

90 posted on 04/16/2016 9:07:00 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: fortheDeclaration
Kasich can't win either even if Cruz dropped out.

The problem with Cruz dropping out is that if he did, the anti-Trump vote would have no distractions or decisions to make. You vote Kasich or you vote Trump. At that point, the establishment would not have to hedge their bets between the most viable candidate to stop Trump and the candidate they like the most.

The character of the campaign would change without Cruz, as would the news coverage of Kasich, who would become the candidate who had to be interviewed, discussed, and inevitably praised for his moderate views and electibility. Even (especially?) as a Trump voter, I'd prefer to keep Cruz in the race.

91 posted on 04/16/2016 9:50:37 AM PDT by Pollster1 (Somebody who agrees with me 80% of the time is a friend and ally, not a 20% traitor. - Ronald Reagan)
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To: Pollster1
If Kasich were the only candidate left, Trump would crush him like he did the other establishment candidates.

Cruz is only surviving because he is getting conservative support who still regard him as anti-establishment.

So, in effect, the establishment are running two candidates against Trump in order to keep him from getting the majority, since one can't beat him.

92 posted on 04/16/2016 9:58:57 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: fortheDeclaration
If Kasich were the only candidate left, Trump would crush him like he did the other establishment candidates. Cruz is only surviving because he is getting conservative support who still regard him as anti-establishment.

Cruz is getting that support because his entire record in government is that of a conservative - not a conservative who is as popular with voters as Trump, but still a 97% to 100% conservative if you look at his record instead of at campaign rhetoric. However, election dynamics change when there are only two candidates left. I do not want Kasich to drop out and leave just Cruz, but neither do I want Cruz to drop out and leave just Kasich - unless both go at the same time.

Don't be so confident that Trump would crush Kasich, the last man standing, as easily as he crushed the rest of them. Trump had the advantage of divided opposition before. With that gone, the dynamic could be different. If Kasich support jumps in these final few primaries, that can be used as justification for nominating him if Trump falls short. I want to avoid that disaster, and the best way to avoid it is for both Cruz and Kasich to stay in.

[Note: I do not consider a Cruz nomination a disaster, but I consider it extremely unlikely. Cruz thinks he can play the establishment, but I expect them to betray him if Cruz stops Trump.]

93 posted on 04/16/2016 10:24:57 AM PDT by Pollster1 (Somebody who agrees with me 80% of the time is a friend and ally, not a 20% traitor. - Ronald Reagan)
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To: Pollster1
The reason I am confident that Trump would crush Kasich is because this election is an anti-Establishment election.

The Establishment has seen that and now are backing two candidates, one representing the anti-establishment view (Cruz) the other one the establishment one (Kasich).

I want Kasich to drop out because he cannot win the majority of the delegates and is therefore only remaining in the race to fight a convention battle.

Likewise with Cruz when he is mathematically eliminated.

I doubt few Cruz voters would vote for Kasich, I know Trump voters wouldn't.

What the establishment is attempting to do is what it has always done to get their guys elected, divide conservatives, in this case religious conservatives (Cruz) and popularist ones (Trump), while Kasich slides through untouched.

If Kasich were leading the RNC would be putting all kinds of pressure for both Trump and Cruz to drop out for the good of the Party.

94 posted on 04/16/2016 11:08:37 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: fortheDeclaration
The reason I am confident that Trump would crush Kasich is because this election is an anti-Establishment election.

Some states have been anti-establishment, but others were pro-establishment. I do not want to give the pro-establishment forces a chance to unite. If the last few primaries are a two-man race presented as an up or down referendum on Trump, even people who don't like Kasich might vote for him to try for a "compromise" candidate at the convention. Party leadership would even argue that they were justified in treating that as a public rejection of the Trump nomination. The rules changes to deny Trump the nomination would be "to meet the public demand". No, thank you.

95 posted on 04/16/2016 11:34:17 AM PDT by Pollster1 (Somebody who agrees with me 80% of the time is a friend and ally, not a 20% traitor. - Ronald Reagan)
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To: Savage Rider

You ask “Who is the keeper of the spirit of the primaries?”

The “keeper of the spirit” of the rules is found in the preamble to the national GOP rules. The national rules set up the guidelines for state primaries. Here’s what it says:

“BE IT RESOLVED...
It is the intent and purpose of these rules to encourage and allow the broadest possible participation of all voters in Republican Party activities at all levels and to assure that the Republican Party is open and accessible to all Americans.”

Does anybody think that the Colorado and Wyoming procedures pass muster?


96 posted on 04/16/2016 5:02:46 PM PDT by The Continental Op
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To: Pollster1
That is what can happen now, as long as Kasich is still running, which is why the Establishment want him to keep running.

Both Cruz and Kasich need to drop out.

97 posted on 04/16/2016 11:44:43 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: fortheDeclaration

The best thing for Trump as a candidate is for both Cruz and Kasich to drop out, but that isn’t going to happen. Kasich will stay forever. If Kasich stays, the best thing for Trump is for Cruz to stay too. That doesn’t guarantee a Trump win, but a three-person race gives Trump the best odds short of both rivals dropping out. Trump voters should not resent Cruz for staying. As a Trump voter who has analyzed more political races than you can imagine, I want Cruz to stay for as long as Kasich does.


98 posted on 04/17/2016 12:26:25 AM PDT by Pollster1 (Somebody who agrees with me 80% of the time is a friend and ally, not a 20% traitor. - Ronald Reagan)
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To: Pollster1
Cruz voters aren't Kasich voters.

It is far more likely that they would support Trump then Kasich or at least sit the primaries out.

99 posted on 04/17/2016 12:51:30 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: fortheDeclaration
It is far more likely that they would support Trump then Kasich or at least sit the primaries out.

And if Cruz voters (that's 30% of republicans, so even a fraction of Cruz voters would be a big deal) sit out the general election too? We all know what that would mean - Hillary would put the final nail in the coffin for American freedom. Why not stick to the issues and give the personal attacks a rest? No one will be offended if you attack Cruz for his positions on gun rights, on Obamacare, on education, or even on abortion. Give it a shot:

http://www.ontheissues.org/Ted_Cruz.htm

https://www.tedcruz.org/issues/

https://www.quora.com/What-does-the-NRA-think-of-Ted-Cruz-and-why - literally the highest rating the NRA has ever given!

http://www.proliferecord.com/ - not perfect, but better than the other candidates this year.

Oh, my! If you read his positions, his ratings, and his voting record, it's hard to find anyone better on the major issues. I'm still voting for Trump because I want the Republican Convention decided on the first ballot, but besides being counterproductive, the attacks on Cruz are avoiding issues for a very good reason. Ted Cruz is the most consistent conservative to generate significant support since Ronald Reagan.

100 posted on 04/17/2016 6:00:44 PM PDT by Pollster1 (Somebody who agrees with me 80% of the time is a friend and ally, not a 20% traitor. - Ronald Reagan)
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