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To: 2ndDivisionVet

I support Cruz. However, national polling is irrelevant. How the candidates poll in the early primary states is a better indicator of their chances. By that measure the averages at RCP show:

Iowa: Walker has a firm lead.
New Hampshire: Walker leading.
South Carolina: Bush and Walker essentially tied.
Florida, no averages at RCP yet: My guess is that either Rubio or Bush would be leading there.

Few considerations:

1. Both Bush and Walker haven’t formally announced so their true support hasn’t been fully revealed.
2. Walker might have more fragile support given he still is a relative unknown to most Americans.

Another supposition: Walker or Cruz, but not Bush, might feel inclined to fit Rubio into the VP slot in order to better their odds in Florida and with the Spanish speakers.


38 posted on 05/15/2015 7:26:49 PM PDT by BlueStateRightist (Government is best which governs least.)
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To: BlueStateRightist

Iowa Kingmaker Ditches Huckabee: He Sounds Like Hillary; I’m Going with Cruz
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-gop/3287746/posts

The change in Iowa: Conservatives move to Cruz, moderates to Rubio
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3286936/posts

Cruz points to support in Iowa (Has people from ALL previous recent GOP campaigns!)
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-gop/3284480/posts

Ted Cruz taps Matt Schultz to head Iowa campaign (Supported Santorum’s winning caucus bid)
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-gop/3284471/posts


39 posted on 05/15/2015 7:36:44 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (You can help: https://donate.tedcruz.org/c/FBTX0095/)
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To: BlueStateRightist

Walker or Cruz would diminish their chances in the general by adding the cheap labor importer Rubio to the ticket.

English is still a requirement for citizenship.
Citizenship is still a requirement for voting. (legally)
Shouldn’t be too many Spanish speakers voting. (legally)


40 posted on 05/15/2015 8:56:42 PM PDT by Lurkinanloomin (Know Islam, No Peace - No Islam, Know Peace)
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