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Yes, Texas Could Turn Blue: But demographics alone are not the answer
The New Republic ^ | October 26, 2014 | John B. Judis

Posted on 10/27/2014 7:30:22 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

“Do you really think Wendy Davis is going to win?” I asked Jenn Brown, the executive director of Battleground Texas. “I sure do,” she replied. Brown and her top staff may be the only people in Texas who think that Democrat Davis, who is running for governor, can defeat Republican Greg Abbott next week. But the larger question is whether Battleground Texas’s strategy of turning Texas Blue, which is currently married to Davis’s candidacy, can over the next two, four, or six years make Texas, which hasn’t elected a Democrat to statewide office since 1994, or voted for a Democratic presidential candidate since 1976, competitive again.

Battleground’s strategy, as it was presented to me during a recent visit to Texas, relies primarily on demographic trends within the state. Texas has already become a majority-minority state like California. According to 2013 census figures, only 44 percent of Texans are “Anglos,” or whites; 38.4 percent are Hispanic; 12.4 percent African-American; and the remainder Asian-American and native American. By 2020, Hispanics are projected by the Texas State Data Center to account for 40.5 percent of Texans and African-Americans for 11.3 percent compared to 41.1 percent of Anglos. Texas’s minorities generally favor Democrats over Republicans, but they don’t vote in as great a proportion as Anglos who have favored Republicans by similar percentages. Battleground’s strategy assumes that if it and other organizations like the Texas Organizing Project can get many more minorities, and particularly Hispanics, to the polls, then, as minorities increasingly come to outnumber Anglos, Democrats can take back the state...

(Excerpt) Read more at newrepublic.com ...


TOPICS: Texas; Issues; Parties; State and Local
KEYWORDS: 2016; blacks; democrats; demographics; hispanics; texas; wendydavis; whites
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To: Chuzzlewit

“many conservatives are purists”

And many others just draw the line with public announcements that they are going to “crush” the conservatives. If having a problem with what was done in Mississippi or with McTurtle’s anti-tea party hostility means I’m a purist... I guess so.

But the flip side of that is that anyone who holds their nose through that is not a conservative, but just a GOPe cheerleader.


41 posted on 10/27/2014 9:23:48 AM PDT by csivils
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
homoerotic imagery..It ain't me

I stand corrected. You were blaming others for your failures.

Why is it that everything is always somebody else's fault with you Democrats Republicans?

42 posted on 10/27/2014 9:27:10 AM PDT by laotzu
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To: 2ndDivisionVet; Chuzzlewit
No blaming. No insult.

Why should I support a Republican over a conservative?

43 posted on 10/27/2014 9:36:10 AM PDT by laotzu
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
The Democrats are going to get trounced!

And the fact is, even the Mexican's in Texas are conservative.

44 posted on 10/27/2014 10:58:07 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: Chuzzlewit

Romney despised Reagan, left the party because of Reagan, probably didn’t vote for Reagan according to him “Look, I was an independent during the time of Reagan-Bush. I’m not trying to return to Reagan-Bush.”

Romney became a supporter, fundraiser, and voter for democrats in the early 90s, and didn’t return to the GOP until Clinton was in office and Reagan/Bush was over.


45 posted on 10/27/2014 10:59:18 AM PDT by ansel12
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To: Theodore R.
Abbott didn't have to run a 'strong' campaign, Wendy never had a chance.

I believe she will be beaten by 20 pts.

Even many in her own Party had rejected her nomination due to her pro-abortion stance.

46 posted on 10/27/2014 11:01:42 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: laotzu

because the republicans don’t do irreperable damage to the country, and the democrats do..

As for me, I vote against the more dangerous candidate, if that is my only option in the general..in the primary, I try to get the candidate that is the most freedom loving, small government and yet still pro defense.

for instance.. I’ll vote for Walker, Cruz or possibly Rand Paul in the primary...

However, against Hillary or Warren, I will vote for ANY republican in the general election...if nothing more that due to the SCOTUS appts.


47 posted on 10/27/2014 12:52:37 PM PDT by Chuzzlewit
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To: Chuzzlewit
the republicans don’t do irreperable damage to the country

May I quote you on that freely?

48 posted on 10/27/2014 1:58:01 PM PDT by laotzu
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To: fortheDeclaration

Hope you are right, but I think she could run stronger than many think.


49 posted on 10/27/2014 3:34:37 PM PDT by Theodore R. (Liberals keep winning; so the American people must now be all-liberal all the time.)
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To: laotzu

that will be a nickel per quote! :-)

no hard feelings.. should be an interesting night this coming election night.


50 posted on 10/27/2014 9:00:18 PM PDT by Chuzzlewit
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To: Theodore R.
It will be a very bad night for Democrats next week.

She isn't even liked by great deal of Democrats who voted against her nomination.

51 posted on 10/27/2014 9:34:29 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: TexasCajun

Yes, Round Rock. Brushy Creek, an older neighborhood like me. We’re excited to get there.


52 posted on 10/27/2014 9:38:38 PM PDT by uscga77 (the truth remains)
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