If it's difficult to read here goes:
Newt goes to the convention with 664 delegates, The Mittiot 929.
Assuming both Santorum and Paul ride the thing out (doubtful) you have their delegates and the "unaccounted" up for grabs for the first vote.
Assuming a 50/50 split gives the Mittiot more than the required number (1275).
The next scenario shows Newt basically needing a 70/30 split of those delegates.
Of course CA is huge
and I have it going to the Mittiot.
I will upload this spreadsheet to Scribd and post a link here. For your entertainment only, of course!
I will set user input fields for simplification, a lot of math (formula) is built into it.
For example RP's count is the remainder of the aggregate G/R/S count; eliminating a chance for over 100% distribution.
Basically you set the percentage of votes for each candidate in each remaining state and a result falls out.
I have Florida, Arizona, DC, Maryland, Delaware, Jersey, Calif and Utah going winner-take-all to the Mittiot.
Of course this is all hokey pokey as Priebus and friends are writing the rules as I type.
We don't even know how Florida and the other renegade states will be handled.
One thing seems for sure, it will get ugly with the GOP pulling every trick and inventing a few.
FWIW: Ignore the 2165 figure, it came from the original post header.
I don't even pretend to understand how Montana, New York and other states will "actually" allocate delegates.
And WTH are the "loophole primaries" in IL and PA? It's pretty mind-boggling by design.
Cells highlighted in orange are fair game, the other cells should not be altered.
(Or you'll have Karl Rove hounding you until late October
)
Using South Carolina as an example you will see that delegates are not strictly divided proportionally.
Some states allot "winner take all" for districts then allocate the lions share to the statewide winner.
SC ALLOCATION
Isn't it strange how even with Newt winning SC the Mittiot gets the Google headlines
ROMNEY BIAS