He lost me in the first paragraph.
He probably should have somebody read his editorials before he posts them.
Good post. I was looking at the same information and thinking the same thing.
Could someone post the Cliff’s Notes on this?
McCain is also leading in every region other than the northeast among these national polls.
This analysis of Gallup is very interesting.
Obama can’t totally hide who he really is, a Chicago, thug politician, The truth will out.
Interesting article. Thanks.
The article suggests Gallup has changed the affiliation weighting. However, it is my understanding that Gallup’s Daily Tracker is a “registered voter” poll with no weighting of respondents.
That is why you see wide swings. One night they might poll more Dems, another night more R’s. The theory of the tracker though is to show ebbs/flows in the race and give pure RV data.
Of course, RV polls are not always indicative of who will actually cast a ballot. So I like the Rasmussen polls as a counterweight to get a 2nd view.
Great theory but how does it account for the majority of all the other polls that has husein in the lead also ?
Nice regression of the weighting of the poll numbers.
Well done.
Odd, since most polls are showing that more people are now identifying themselves as Republicans.
So, put it all together, and in the past week Obama has stayed steady or lost support in every party identification group, yet Gallup says his overall support went up four points. And McCain stayed steady or went up in every party identification group, yet we are supposed to accept the claim that his overall support went down by four points?
Gallup fudging the books?
Why are none of the polls usuing the average turnout figures of 38%-35%?