[heleny]

From polls taken before the good news about the reversal, Simon seemed to be about tied with Davis. Recently I have been hearing Giuliani ads for Simon on the radio almost every hour. I have yet to hear a paid Davis ad on the radio this year.

New Poll Shows Simon Leading Davis and Still in Play [CA Gov.]: Simon Leads Davis Among Likely Voters

"Among 'most likely voters,' Simon leads Davis 41 percent to 36 percent. The survey of 800 voters was conducted after the Field Poll and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percent.

The survey also found that 56 percent of respondents say they want the state to have a new governor, while only 39 percent want Davis re-elected."

The referenced Field Poll, mentioned in many articles including California: Simon: Davis' ads having no effect and Davis, Simon heartily disliked-Voter disenchantment has soared to unprecedented level, poll says, had

a Field poll released Tuesday that indicated Gov. Gray Davis' lead hasn't grown since a similar poll taken in July, despite the GOP candidate's recent legal troubles and campaign gaffes. Voters favored Davis 38 percent to 31 percent over Simon in the poll.

The random telephone survey of 765 likely voters was conducted Aug. 23-Sept. 3. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.6 percentage points.

[Thud]

The Field Poll is the gold standard in California politics.