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The so-called experts continue to miss the dynamic that will result in the most stunning election cycle in North Carolina history. The delays caused by redistricting are shaking up not only the Senate race but also impacting Congressional races in the 1st and 13th Districts which still may be altered by the SCOTUS decision on the Utah challenge.

Yet by far, the elimination of the run-off primary presents the greatest opportunity for minority candidates Blue (Senate), and Cole (1st House) and white RINO Boyd (13th House) to pull primary upsets.

No longer needing 40 per cent to win in the first primary, Blue has a chance against Bowles if he can up registration of the Black vote in the eastern part of the state. Cole is gaining rapidly on State Senator Frank Ballance in Democratic internal polls. Each can now win with about 36 per cent if the 40 per cent rule/second primary is abolished.

This dynamic stands to hurt Senate candidate Dole (badly) and 1st House GOP candidate Dority (slightly). However it may serve to help former Democrat Boyd who claims to be conservative (but is only slightly right of center) as he challenges in a three way fight to face Democratic State Senator Brad Miller in November.

Should Utah win the challenge look for the 13th to survive and incumbent Robin Hayes drawn out of his district.

Meanwhile the GOP will reclaim the state House with the current maps. Which will be good news because Ms Dole continues to fade rapidly.

Very rapidly,

J

Which will be good news because Ms Dole continues to fade rapidly.

I do hope and pray that statement is correct. Don't need no stinkin' RINO'ess taking Jesse Helms' place.

Under what scenario does Dole lose the primary? A poll in February showed Dole leading her primary opposition with 71% of the vote.