Are their any Senatorial elections or major propositions on the ballot that will bring out voters who while they are in the voting both will vote against Davis?
That goes without saying.
A winning strategy for Davis could be to frighten the Dem's base (not exactly difficult), i.e. blacks, Hispanics, union members, quite a few women (soccer moms etc.), with extreme negative advertising. This would pump up the turnout among their base while turning off the middle of the road voters causing them to not bother voting. It's known that negative campaigns drive down turnout, mainly among middle of the roaders who never can seem to figure out what they believe. Alot of these middle of the roaders probably want to get rid of Davis, but are also easily frightened like the Dem base.
Davis wants a Republican base versus Democratic base election with everyone else on the sidelines. In California, that spells victory for the Dems if their base turns out.
The Field poll numbers are basically showing the Dem and Republican bases, and everyone else is in the undecided category. Most of those undecideds are anti-Davis. All Davis needs to do is make them not show up election day.
No senate races this year. Just the usual House of Representatives elections and the state races.
The Racial Privacy Initiative (proposition offered by Ward Connerly of American Civil Rights Coalition to stop classification by race) will probably appear in November. This should energize both the conservative base and the liberal "gimme more government handouts because my skin is colored" base.
CA voters rejected affirmative action (prop 209) in the past, so they may be more likely to vote for racial privacy, too, and against Davis.
There will probably be another "clean water" bond, like there is every election, which will saddle us with more costs but won't improve the water (so that they can get another bond issued at the next election).
There will also be a housing trust fund proposition and an after-school program grant. These other propositions probably aren't particularly interesting.
You are absolutely right. Turn-out IS everything. That's why we have to work harder and smarter than the Democrats. Our people hate Davis more than their people LIKE him. Remember that.
Simon is an excellent candidate with the right ideas (conservative ones!)
Go Simon! Dump Davis!