It's based on Chinese history.
Dream on! The ChiCom government is growing stronger and more entrenched in power every day thanks to US trade and appeasement policies providing them with $100 billion a year to increase their police state apparatus and build up their military.
Uh-huh. And that means that the various elites will have lots of troops to rent service from.
Who exactly, do you think the PLA will be fighting in the streets?
Other PLA troops.
The people you say?
No, and I never did, either.
What do you think will be the outcome of such a fight?
Of the fight I'm projecting? An interesting correlation of forces here. In one corner, the noveau riche of Shanghai will have a technology edge; the Chinese agrarian elites have dang near bottomless pools of manpower; and the Manchurian industrial fat-cats have factories of varying capability and unknown provenance. The wild card: which way will the Second Artillery Corps jump?
Think of Tianamenn a hundred times over, a thousand, ney ten thousand times over (100 million civilian dead) because that is the number of dead Chinaman the Butchers of Beijing are willing to sacrifice in order to maintain Communism's hold on power.
It will be the elites of Shanghai versus the elites of Beijing (who basically hail from the Agrarian China) versus the elites of the Manchurian industrial regions. And they will have army units to command--because they will BUY their services (corruption is becoming a way of life in the PLA). Think Stalingrad a thousand times over.
You fail to comprehend the Asian mind.
Your ascribing one monolithic mindset to all of Asia shows that you don't come even close to understanding any "Asian mind" except the picture you paint for yourself.
The ChiComs place far less value on human life than we do.
That tends to make a civil war far more likely instead of less likely when the wheels come off--think of how the civil war in Yugoslavia got started, with Communist elites deciding to exploit ethnic differences to maintain their grip on power (there are significant ethnic differences between the major groups in China--and those ethnic faultlines dovetail nicely with the economic ones).
They already have killed a minimum of 60 million of their people in the past five decades (not counting the 66 million-odd forced abortions and infanticides they commit each and every year using 1986 figures).
In short, the various Chinese elites suffer from mass psychosis. Again, this does not make compromise and consensus very likely.
They kill hundreds of thousands of political and religious dissidents every year in the laogai death camps which hold between 7 and 20 million prisoners.
And how will this bloody-mindedness towards those who disagree prevent a civil war when the elites have enough differences for a falling out?
What makes you think that they will hesitate to kill a few million more in the streets of Beijing.
Nothing. That's why there will be a civil war, DUH!