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Is human evolution finally over? (Looks like we're stuck)
The Observer (UK) ^ | Sunday February 3, 2002

Posted on 02/02/2002 6:27:46 PM PST by Dallas

Is human evolution finally over?

Scientists are split over the theory that natural selection has come to a standstill in the West. Robin McKie reports

Sunday February 3, 2002
The Observer


For those who dream of a better life, science has bad news: this is the best it is going to get. Our species has reached its biological pinnacle and is no longer capable of changing.

That is the stark, controversial view of a group of biologists who believe a Western lifestyle now protects humanity from the forces that used to shape Homo sapiens.

'If you want to know what Utopia is like, just look around - this is it,' said Professor Steve Jones, of University College London, who is to present his argument at a Royal Society Edinburgh debate, 'Is Evolution Over?', next week. 'Things have simply stopped getting better, or worse, for our species.'

This view is controversial, however. Other scientists argue that mankind is still being influenced by the evolutionary forces that created the myriad species which have inhabited Earth over the past three billion years.

'If you had looked at Stone Age people in Europe a mere 50,000 years ago, you would assume the trend was for people to get bigger and stronger all the time,' said Prof Chris Stringer, of the Natural History Museum, London. 'Then, quite abruptly, these people were replaced by light, tall, highly intelligent people who arrived from Africa and took over the world. You simply cannot predict evolutionary events like this. Who knows where we are headed?'

Some scientists believe humans are becoming less brainy and more neurotic; others see signs of growing intelligence and decreasing robustness, while some, like Jones, see evidence of us having reached a standstill. All base their arguments on the same tenets of natural selection.

According to Darwin's theory, individual animals best suited to their environments live longer and have more children, and so spread their genes through populations. This produces evolutionary changes. For example, hoofed animals with longer necks could reach the juiciest leaves on tall trees and therefore tended to eat well, live longer, and have more offspring. Eventually, they evolved into giraffes. Those with shorter necks died out.

Similar processes led to the evolution of mankind, but this has now stopped because virtually everybody's genes are making it to the next generation, not only those who are best adapted to their environments.

'Until recently, there were massive differences between individuals' lifespans and fecundity,' said Jones. 'In London, the death rate outstripped the birth rate for most of the city's history. If you look at graveyards from ancient to Victorian times, you can see that a half of all children died before adolescence, probably because they lacked genetic protection against disease. Now, children's chances of reaching the age of 25 have reached 98 per cent. Nothing is changing. We have reached stagnation.'

In addition, human populations are now being constantly mixed, again producing a blending that blocks evolutionary change. This increased mixing can be gauged by calculating the number of miles between a person's birthplace and his or her partner's, then between their parents' birthplaces, and finally, between their grandparents'.

In virtually every case, you will find that the number of miles drops dramatically the more that you head back into the past. Now people are going to universities and colleges where they meet and marry people from other continents. A generation ago, men and women rarely mated with anyone from a different town or city. Hence, the blending of our genes which will soon produce a uniformly brown-skinned population. Apart from that, there will be little change in the species.

However, such arguments affect only the Western world - where food, hygiene and medical advances are keeping virtually every member of society alive and able to pass on their genes. In the developing world, no such protection exists.

'Just consider Aids, and then look at chimpanzees,' says Jones. 'You find they all carry a version of HIV but are unaffected by it.

'But a few thousand years ago, when the first chimps became infected, things would have been very different. Millions of chimps probably died as the virus spread through them, and only a small number, which possessed genes that conferred immunity, survived to become the ancestors of all chimps today.

'Something very similar could soon happen to humans. In a thousand years, Africa will be populated only by the descendants of those few individuals who are currently immune to the Aids virus. They will carry the virus but will be unaffected by it. So yes, there will be change there all right - but only where the forces of evolution are not being suppressed.'

However, other scientists believe evolutionary pressures are still taking their toll on humanity, despite the protection afforded by Western life. For example, the biologist Christopher Wills, of the University of California, San Diego, argues that ideas are now driving our evolution. 'There is a premium on sharpness of mind and the ability to accumulate money. Such people tend to have more children and have a better chance of survival,' he says. In other words, intellect - the defining characteristic of our species - is still driving our evolution.

This view is countered by Peter Ward, of the University of Washington in Seattle. In his book, Future Evolution, recently published in the US by Henry Holt, Ward also argues that modern Western life protects people from the effects of evolution. 'I don't think we are going to see any changes - apart from ones we deliberately introduce ourselves, when we start to bio-engineer people, by introducing genes into their bodies, so they live longer or are stronger and healthier.'

If people start to live to 150, and are capable of producing children for more than 100 of those years, the effects could be dramatic, he says. 'People will start to produce dozens of children in their lifetimes, and that will certainly start to skew our evolution. These people will also have more chance to accumulate wealth as well. So we will have created a new race of fecund, productive individuals and that could have dramatic consequences.

'However, that will only come about when we directly intervene in our own evolution, using cloning and gene therapy. Without that, nothing will happen.'

Stringer disagrees, however. 'Evolution goes on all the time. You don't have to intervene. It is just that it is highly unpredictable. For example, brain size has decreased over the past 10,000 years. A similar reduction has also affected our physiques. We are punier and smaller-brained compared with our ancestors only a few millennia ago. So even though we might be influenced by evolution, that does not automatically mean an improvement in our lot.'

robin.mckie@observer.co.uk


TOPICS: Culture/Society; Editorial
KEYWORDS: crevolist
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To: SamAdams76
I saw that on Drudge....somebody needs to kiss the frog, and turn him into a prince...
41 posted on 02/02/2002 7:42:04 PM PST by Dallas
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To: Buckeroo
If gene splicing with animals takes place, yes I'm sure you're right. Of course if everyone continues to vote liberal, then the Jackass Ears will occur naturally. Nature has a way of ensuring species superiority.
42 posted on 02/02/2002 7:47:31 PM PST by MadRobotArtist
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To: Dallas
Evolution, in a classical sense is most definetely over. What I mean by that is that human beings will not change due to nature any more. There are a few reasons for this:

The first, and biggest, reason is that humans will soon master the art of manipulating DNA. This will stop evolution right away because people will only change due to their will, rather than adapting to nature through trial and error. This brings me to the second reason for this.

Human beings have mastered the ability to alter their environment to suit themselves. In addition, human beings have separated themselves into classes of individuals, totally screwing up mating patterns. Thus, we don't have survival of the fittest anymore, nor do we have females mating with the strongest men either (or the other way around). This puts a wrench into the gears of evolution, since the driving forces of evolution have been cut off.

So while I say evolution is over, we aren't stuck. I am pretty sure scientists will begin manipulating DNA in unborn children wuthin the next 10 years, and within 50 we will be able to "design" our children (although legally, people will be limited as to what features they can give their kids).

43 posted on 02/02/2002 7:48:43 PM PST by kevlinsky
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Comment #44 Removed by Moderator

To: Dallas
No opinion on human evolution, but it does seem the percentage of bad people to good people has increased. An unintended consequence of that change will be harsher laws. It's not good.
45 posted on 02/02/2002 7:53:15 PM PST by GOPJ
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Comment #46 Removed by Moderator

Comment #47 Removed by Moderator

To: crevo_list
Bump.
48 posted on 02/02/2002 7:56:14 PM PST by Junior
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To: Dallas
For example, hoofed animals with longer necks could reach the juiciest leaves on tall trees and therefore tended to eat well, live longer, and have more offspring. Eventually, they evolved into giraffes. Those with shorter necks died out. Similar processes led to the evolution of mankind, but this has now stopped because virtually everybody's genes are making it to the next generation, not only those who are best adapted to their environments.

Hah! Shows how much they know. Humans, too, can have long necks:


49 posted on 02/02/2002 7:56:55 PM PST by r9etb
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To: kevlinsky
There's no doubt genetic engineering of humans is just around the corner. Perhaps not in this country right away, but most certainly is Japan/Europe.

A very scary proposition...

50 posted on 02/02/2002 7:59:08 PM PST by Dallas
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To: MadRobotArtist
Goverment has a way of ensuring a lower order of species.
51 posted on 02/02/2002 8:07:14 PM PST by Buckeroo
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To: Dallas
There's no doubt genetic engineering of
humans is just around the corner.

Yes.  And I think it will answer the
question "is human evolution over" in
the affirmative as far as natural selection
is concerned.  But civilization in the form
of genetic engineering will take over it
its place.  A race of telepathic immortals
someday?  Why not.

52 posted on 02/02/2002 8:09:02 PM PST by gcruse
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To: Dallas
>this is the best it is going to get. Our species has reached its biological pinnacle and is no longer capable of changing.

Surely this couldn't be (dare I say it) Intelligent Design?

53 posted on 02/02/2002 8:28:40 PM PST by LostTribe
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To: Buckeroo
Agreed
54 posted on 02/02/2002 8:32:32 PM PST by MadRobotArtist
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To: coteblanche
Cote, your evelotionary pic is totally politically incorrect. Did you know that?

There are no female, black, oriental, left-handed, right-wing, quadraplegic, bald, overweight, underweight, bolemic, dyslexic, persons in that scene. Shame on you!

I'm contacting the ACLU, Jesse Jackson, and Al Sharpton to bring a class action suit from everyone on the planet against you for being socially inconsiderate to others because you do not "feel their pain."

55 posted on 02/02/2002 8:33:14 PM PST by Cobra64
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To: MadRobotArtist
Don't agree with anyone and certainly me. Always argue with conscientious determinism about your individual rights, liberties and freedoms. Always consider objective analysis about your government. Always keep a self-deterministic concept about our nation. Never allow your-self to enjoy the fruits of a government inspired method to usurp our rights.
56 posted on 02/02/2002 8:43:59 PM PST by Buckeroo
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To: Dallas
This is not true. Man now has the capability to "borrow" select strings of DNA from other species, to advance its own species. Possibilites include advancing all five sences now known, and some not known.
57 posted on 02/02/2002 8:44:51 PM PST by kylaka
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To: kevlinsky
The first, and biggest, reason is that humans will soon master the art of manipulating DNA. This will stop evolution right away because people will only change due to their will, rather than adapting to nature through trial and error.

Yessirree it's the same old 'Man Conquers Nature' story with a new headline:
"DDT Ends Crop Failures"
"Penicillin Ends Bacterial Infections"
"Cloud Seeding Ends Droughts"

And now, ladies and gentlemen, in the far ring, before your very eyes, Captain Science
"Ends Death and Expands Intelligence Infinitely with Genetic Manipulation".
No longer will mankind be subject to the tyrannies of nature that wash mountain ranges into the sea, cause stars to go super nova and galaxies to wheel one into the other. Thanks to mans superior intellect the stupid cruelty of nature will no longer be able to compete. Step right up folks, tell your grandchildren that you were there when Captain Science pinned God to the mat.

58 posted on 02/02/2002 10:47:18 PM PST by TigersEye
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To: LostTribe
They just don't seem to get it....
59 posted on 02/02/2002 11:01:50 PM PST by Dallas
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Comment #60 Removed by Moderator


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