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Records: Plane Suffered Turbulence
AP ^ | 11-14-01 | JONATHAN D. SALANT

Posted on 11/16/2001 1:09:13 PM PST by Oldeconomybuyer

Edited on 04/13/2004 3:29:03 AM PDT by Jim Robinson. [history]

WASHINGTON -- Safety records show the American Airlines plane that crashed in New York was severely shaken by air turbulence seven years earlier in an episode that injured 47 people.

One possibility safety investigators are considering is that the Airbus A300 broke apart Monday after hitting turbulence from the plane taking off before it at Kennedy International Airport.


(Excerpt) Read more at bayarea.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: aaflight587; flight587
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To: Colt .45
You sure like to call people names. I thought the rules were no personal attacks?
81 posted on 11/16/2001 1:10:35 PM PST by concerned about politics
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To: concerned about politics
Your concern is because it took so long to post it? The incedent in '94 ? I'm picking your brain. What do you think is wrong?

I'll try to explain:

  1. When he looked in the FAA database for incident reports on the plane in question two days ago, there were none.

  2. Today, the FAA claims that the plane was involved in severe turbulence episode seven years ago.

  3. Nearly simultaneously, the incident report shows up in the FAA database.

So, the question is: where was the report two days ago? Was it suddenly "found"? Was there a problem with the database two days ago? Or did someone fabricate the report or associate another one with the plane that crashed to provide a plausible explanation?
82 posted on 11/16/2001 1:10:37 PM PST by justlurking
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To: Avi8tor
Are you saying the registration number was not there? You got me, Avi8tor. You lost me on that one.
83 posted on 11/16/2001 1:10:37 PM PST by concerned about politics
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Comment #84 Removed by Moderator

To: dawn53
There have been numerous crashes that have been caused by cracks, or defects some that went all the way back to manufacture and were not detected until after an accident. I know that many here want to jump on the terrorist bandwagon, but at this point drawing that conclusion is very much speculation.
85 posted on 11/16/2001 1:10:40 PM PST by HamiltonJay
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To: justlurking
So, the question is: where was the report two days ago? Was it suddenly "found"? Was there a problem with the database two days ago? Or did someone fabricate the report or associate another one with the plane that crashed to provide a plausible explanation?

OK. Got you this time.
It does sound odd, (but I don't understand their data base stuff).The plane number was not there 2 days ago.
If it's "fabricated", then the "end story" will be turbulence because they've already posted " a history", no?

86 posted on 11/16/2001 1:10:41 PM PST by concerned about politics
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To: Hotspur
I'm as wary of terrorism as the next guy, but this struck me from the start as a terrible accident, not terrorism

Well, we agree on that. I wrote a long "possible innocent explanation" yesterday in emails to my son and some friends, all of whom yelled, "Terrorism!". I hasten to add that I am not an airplane expert; heck, I can be charitably described as ignorant.

Where you and I disagree is that this doesn't seem to be "updates." It looks to me like they are searching and searching for an explanation that will work. I could be wrong. But, as I wrote elsewhere yesterday, it seems to me just like the American Muslims telling me their religion is peaceful and that they love America--the more they talk, the more they betray the very arguments they are trying to make.

87 posted on 11/16/2001 1:10:42 PM PST by jammer
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To: Avi8tor
If you are correct about the abscence of an incident report regarding N14053, and the subsequent "appearance" of a report involving clear air turbulence, then that speaks VOLUMES about the "turbulence" theory being a trial balloon for the politicos involved. They are setting the stage for a plausible theory other than sabatoge.

Also, we know that early reports (likely true reports-- the truest reports come immediately after an incident, before the spin!) tell us that the aircraft was 20 second LATE in taking off behind the JAL flight. That would put the Airbus at 140 seconds behind the JAL... 2 minutes and 20 seconds total. Since 2 minutes is optimum space between flights, the turbulence theory would be immediately shot down. But instead, CNN now reports that it was 30 seconds EARLY behind the JAL flight... at 90 seconds total. Very fishy indeed-- and where did CNN get this info?

It would all simply say that Washington wants this crash to be anything BUT terrorism or sabatoge. Why? Well, it spent 15 billion propping up the airline industry. We'd have to spend more for a second terrorist sabatoge act to prop them up. A sabatoge act would cost airlines dearly in increased costs to check out every plane and install new procedures. Secondly, terrorists want terror. And they would get what they want with a second airline disaster.

No, in the end, Washington wants this to be an accident, and it will be an accident whether we want the truth or not. Time will tell, but I say we will never hear this crash to be attributed to sabatoge if it was indeed so.

88 posted on 11/16/2001 1:10:43 PM PST by RightlySo
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To: RightlySo
I think you're right , rightly so.
Avi8tor had a good find there.
89 posted on 11/16/2001 1:10:44 PM PST by concerned about politics
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To: chimera
Actually, the expected fatality rate in a passenger jet crash is about 50%. (Good reason to count rows to the exit.)
90 posted on 11/16/2001 1:10:44 PM PST by Atlas Sneezed
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To: Avi8tor
Your research agrees with news stories from Monday night. Monday, the various news stories said that this particular plane had no history of any problems.

BTW, I tried your links, and the nasdac.faa.gov server seems to be down right now.

91 posted on 11/16/2001 1:10:44 PM PST by cc2k
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To: Solson
Solson -- Here is the pic with a picture of the same plane taking off. It is the entire stab.

Hope that helps.

arkady

92 posted on 11/16/2001 1:10:45 PM PST by arkady_renko
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To: Central Scrutiniser
One of my great thrills as a child in the 50's was to fly in a Connie out of Byrd field in Richmond. My dad was 100,000 miler (yes onehundred thousand- no big deal today) and ex-military, and somehow he got us a first class ride that included a trip to the round lounge. I don't remember where we went, but I was VERY impressed.

They are beautiful aircraft and nothing else really sounds like the old four engined pistoned birds.

Thanks for the explanation of the handle. A Scrutineer is someone who does the legal and technical inspection of a race car. I was just curious, cuz "Blueflag" comes from sports car racing -- the blue flag is shown to drivers who need to move their cars out of the way of faster, closing traffic.

thanks again.

93 posted on 11/16/2001 1:10:45 PM PST by Blueflag
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To: arkady_renko
That vertical stabilizer looks so good, it looks like it was removed for maintenance. Hard to believe some horrific force tore it from its mounts. Not that you can really see from the photo, but I don't notice any deformation, even at the root and the mounts. Very strange
94 posted on 11/16/2001 1:10:45 PM PST by Blueflag
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To: concerned about politics
Are you saying the registration number was not there?

No, he is saying that there were no incident reports for that registration number (or at least, not one regarding severe turbulence seven years ago).

I just did a search of the 'Net. I found a reference to a similar incident involving a A-300 enroute between Miami and San Juan, PR, in 1996. But, nothing regarding this particular registration number and no previous reference to the incident cited (although I admit that I vaguely remember it).

A search for the registration number yields a few hits on aircraft registries, but no further information about the plane.

I've been trying to keep an open mind, avoiding jumping to a conclusion of either accident or sabotage. But frankly, I'm now beginning to wonder if the fix is in.

95 posted on 11/16/2001 1:10:46 PM PST by justlurking
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To: Hotspur
As I recall, cars kill about 1.5 people per 100 million passenger miles, with limited access highway miles maybe 3x safer than average, and rural roads maybe 3x more dangerous.

U.S. major airlines and big airplanes are about 10X safer than cars on average. (But, of course, planes go 10X faster, so per unit of time, they are about the same). Counting driving to Logan, flying into NYC, and risking my life with Osama the taxi driver from the airport into Manhattan, I'd rather drive. Elapsed time is only a little better by air.

Commuter airlines suck, according to the statistics - they are no safer than driving the same distance, but I don't know by how much air taxis in Alaska and other high-risk categories throw off the number.

So buy a big fat body-on-frame SUV, don't drive when sleepy, and I think you may be at least as safe as flying.

96 posted on 11/16/2001 1:10:46 PM PST by eno_
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To: arkady_renko
Thanks!
97 posted on 11/16/2001 1:10:50 PM PST by Solson
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To: G.Mason
Oh, thank God, I thought I was going crazy. #19 says what I have apparently been unable to get across for days.
98 posted on 11/16/2001 1:10:55 PM PST by anniegetyourgun
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To: Reborn
A terrorist threat wouldn't keep me from flying again. Planes that can't handle turbulence would!

Deserves repeating!

99 posted on 11/16/2001 1:10:55 PM PST by BeAChooser
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To: KC Burke
As I got the impression that you are a pilot...

Not a pilot but a sometime Electronic Warfare Officer who saved a few pilots from the enemy and a few more from their own mistakes.

Aircrews can get very confused about what's going on... I recall one crew that very nearly put a BUF in an 'unusual attitude' (very bad, large pieces fall off) trying to avoid a midair with the planet Venus. It strikes me as being at least possible that the 'turbulence' may have been caused by significant portions of the airplane waving in the wind.

100 posted on 11/16/2001 1:10:56 PM PST by Grut
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