Nobody thought that the Ayatollah was the next Prophet of Allah.
Pakistan is much more desperately poor than Iran was.
Musharaf's hold on power is much more tenuous than was the Shah's.
The head of Savak was not a secret agent of the Ahatollah, as was the head of the ISI.
Iran did not have nukes.
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But as you said, all I want to do is get people to think. I am not trying to "sell" this scenario, I hope he is dead inside a collapsed cave. But in the event that OBL does appear on a balcony, we need to have a plan of action for dealing with the consequences. That's all.
Second, I for do not think that OBL is deceased at present. I have the greatest respect for the capabilities of all our special ops forces but I also have yet to see evidence that this is happened so under the options of contingency planning we must presume that it has not.
Third, and importantly, from the link provided it is clear that this myth structure is already having an impact on Muslims living in the USA. George W. Bush stated that this owuld be a long war and I firmly believe that. The graffitti from Pakistan supports this myth structure. the former head of ISI in Pakistan is not yet dead. since he is an opponent of Musharif one must infer that the reason for this is that he has some significant supporters within the Pakistani military, intelligence and government. One should also presume that ISI still has a large number of OBL supporters. Failure to account for these possibilities could be disasterous.
I will flag people for the independent thread.
Stay well - stay safe - Stay armed - Yorktown