Bryant is going to prison. This evidence is just too damning.
Using a basketball analogy - Kobe doesn't have home court advantage in this hearing and I think venue will play an important role. Vail/Beaver Creek is not a liberal hotbed and that may translate to the judical system as well (I must admit this is speculation).
If this trial were in LA, it would already be over, Kobe would have paid off the woman or maybe he would have recieved a slap on the wrist and 200 hours of community service.
No, I think Kobe has an uphill climb and he is going to pay some heavy dues.