Dog Gone, thanks! the ORVS is rated as 63% or so.
So yes it is a safe seat, the only curve ball is Lloyd Doggett has $2 million in a bankroll, and he might want to roll the dice with it. No matter, I've followed him enough I could take him on and win easily, as long as it is an R and not a D district. he is a partisan liberal.
So now my question is what sort of Republican field to expect?
Are there any particular leaders in the GOP in those parts (near Katy) as distinct from Harris co GOP?
It should be a pretty open field. The only person to worry about is Peter Waring, a businessman who has tried to buy a GOP seat in the past two elections. He faced off against John Culberson after Bill Archer resigned, and it became the most expensive primary contest for a House seat in US history. Last year, he ran for against John Carter for that new open district, and lost again.
Hopefully, he's lost his appetite for losing and won't try again. He's not very well liked by those who know him, and I'd certainly never vote for him.
Other than that, the only other person I can think of who could be a contender from the Houston area would be Orlando Sanchez who is currently running for Mayor. If he doesn't win, and it will be a very close election, he might file for that congressional seat. He'd clobber you in the Houston region, but I haven't analyzed the population breakdown of the district. Hopefully, he'll win the Mayoral contest next month, and you won't have to worry about it.
You would crush Doggett if you faced him in that district, and you could probably expect substantial financial support from the GOP to ensure it.