[finnman69]

that would mean Arnold beats Davis directly 47-43. That means a mandate.

[goldstategop]

Yes... and if the turnout in the Bay Area is unusually low, Davis is good as gone. No way he can win without a very heavy Democratic turnout there and in Los Angeles and that's before the absentee votes are counted. I expect a very heavy GOP turnout both in Orange County and in the exurban Republican heartland to the east of the liberal coastal strongholds.