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My prediction: Blanco cuts an Edwards-style deal with the black political groups to deliver their votes to her.

Jindal runs a clean campaign. He can; he's bright and well-educated and has good ideas. The white people of Louisiana (less the Cajuns and the Left) all vote for him. It's not enough. Even though Jindal represents an honest future and an end to politics as usual, he gets beat.

All the blacks, Cajuns, and Leftists vote for Blanco. Blanco wins. The system rejoices and it's back to dirty, back-room-deal, corrupt Louisiana politcs as usual.

Watch as almost no blacks vote for the first person of color to ever have a chance to be governonr of Louisiana. Why? because that person doesn't believe in their beloved Victim Politics; he knows that hard work can make any man a success - that even, say, the son of immigrants who works hard at it can one day be a Rhodes scholar, a great success, and even run for governor. Watch the blacks of Louisiana decide the election. Watch Louisiana stay mired in a crooked past.

Sad, really sad. But at least it's not California.

Watch as almost no blacks vote for the first person of color to ever have a chance to be governonr of Louisiana.

You aren't swallowing Bernie Pinsonant's line, are you? Apparently Bobby Jindal won several black precincts Saturday. Won. And got strong minorities (no pun intended) in many others. He finished 4th among black voters, behind Blanco in 3rd.

My prediction: Blanco ain't gonna have the black vote she'll need to become governor, and Jindal will get more black votes than any Republican in modern, at least, history. If she wins, it'll be by hogging the middle and freezing out Jindal on the Right.

I agree with the gist of your post.

Race aside, New Orleans determines the statewide Louisiana races. And New Orleans voters, both the living and the dead, will INVARIABLY and WITHOUT EXCEPTION, pull the lever next to the D.

Jindal is a good man and would make a good governor. But the only way he will be elected governor is if the New Orleans voters stay home, and north Louisiana has a record turnout.