Poll: Schwarzenegger Gaining; Recall Strong as October 7 Election Nears

Business Wire ^ | October 05, 2003 09:00 AM US Eastern

[freedumb2003]

Hanging Chads, Pregnant Chads, Dimpled Chads. I'm sooooo confused!

Maybe this will help:

[hotpotato]

Almost 24 percent of the votes were cast as absentee ballots BEFORE the LA Times late hit of Oct. 2. Those ballots are running heavy for Yes on Part I of the ballot and heavy for Arnold Swhwarzenegger on Part II.

How do you know what the absentee ballots contain before Tuesday?

[rocklobster11]

I think conventional wisdom would have it that absentee ballots favor the republicans. In this case, however, I'd guess the people most likely to have decided everything early would be the No on recall and/or Yes for Busta. The Arnold vs. McClintock question might have kept some republican votes from being cast early. But that's pure conjecture on my part.

[hotpotato]

Conventional wisdom and actual fact are two different things. Since the information was presented as fact, I was wondering how the information could have been obtained prior to Tuesday's vote.

[GoldwaterBooster]

Sorry for the confusion. Obviously I don't know the contents of unopened absentee ballots. I do know that more than two million will be returned by Tuesday according to the best estimates of county clerks and that number conforms with the Knight-Ridder poll almost exactly.

Then you just take an average of about five public polls including LA Times, Gallup, PPIC, SurveyUSA, and Stanford and apply those percentages to the number of absentee ballots. This is not an exact science but every election it works very well within a percentage point or two.

[CaliGirlGodHelpMe]

"CNN is getting desperate."

You want to see desperate, you should check out the Sacramento Bee. All Arnold, all the time. It's like a flashback to October 1996 - complete abandonment of any semblance of journalistic neutrality. Throwing in any comment from any passing screwball that happens to fit in with their desired result. Printing innuendo and insults as though they were established facts. Mislabeling accusers as "reported victims".

I am sooooo looking forward to Wednesday.

[Russell Scott]

I guess we get to listen to the Dims scream and holler at Arnie for a few years. Expect an impeachment or recall by them if they keep finding dirt on Arnold. How peaceful it would have been with Tom running the State. Of course, then we wouldn't be living in the last days.

[fella]

If you think tat the dims ae nasty now, wait until after Tuesday when they turn their full attention on te President. is daughters are going to be drug through so much filth that even the demonrat controlled porn industry will not touch them