[Republic_of_Secession.]

I agree. Though I think that the numbers will likely move in favour of Swarzenegger simply because many of McClintock's supporters will not want to be responsible for cating a vote which essentially elects Bustamente. I think a lot of McClintock's supporters are going to end up making an agonizing choice at the ballot box.

[HitmanLV]

Actually, I think McC's support will erode significantly on election day. He will be #3, but a distant #3, I suspect. His vote tally will be closer to Arianna than Cruz, I'll bet, probably around 8% or so.

In fact, he will have succeeded in marginalizing conservatives in California - rendering them impotent from a statewide perspective. That's a bad thing - he could position himself well and be a team player, and maybe a star in 2004, instead of an indignant, meaningless voice in the political landscape.