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To: Theodore R.; Pubbie
"I'm confident we can retain the Oklahoma seat.

People said this in 2002 about the OK governorship, when it was vacated by Frank Keating. Didn't happen!"


If a conservative third-party candidate picks up 15% in the Senate race (as he did in the gubernatorial race), then yes, Brad Carson will win it. If not, the GOP nominee will be favored (especially in a presidential year) so long as it's Watts, Istook, Keating or some other high-profile conservative.
24 posted on 09/24/2003 11:08:30 AM PDT by AuH2ORepublican (Extremism in the defense of liberty is no vice, moderation in the pursuit of justice is no virtue.)
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To: AuH2ORepublican; Theodore R.; JohnnyZ; fieldmarshaldj
"If not, the GOP nominee will be favored (especially in a presidential year) so long as it's Watts, Istook, Keating or some other high-profile conservative."

Watts and Keating are apparently enjoying making money in the private sector, and are unlikely to want to return to politics.

Istook, who I like, is the most likely to run for Nickels' seat.
27 posted on 09/24/2003 11:16:37 AM PDT by Pubbie ("Last time I checked, he doesn't have a vote" - Tom DeLay on Ari Fleischer's demand for Tax-Rebates)
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To: AuH2ORepublican
OK will be no problem in a Senate race. OK is an R state on Federal offices. Will elect a D gov, but not to the Senate. Only one CD will elect a D, and it contains most of the reservations.
28 posted on 09/24/2003 11:17:52 AM PDT by wylenetheconservative
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