[NYC Republican]

That is not what the Arniebots have been saying. They've been saying McClintock can't beat Bustamante. Of course Tom can't beat Arnold in a 3-way race as Arnold is the spoiler. Remove the liberal spoiler and the conservative has a chance

Another reality check... If Arnold never got into the race, the recall would NEVER pass. Only someone with ***STAR*** power can fend off the steady stream of (what passes for) powerful Dems campainging on Davis' behalf. McClintock would have been chewed up and spit out long ago...

[JCEccles]

If Arnold never got into the race, the recall would NEVER pass.

What is your evidence? How do you know that?

[Sabertooth]

Another reality check... If Arnold never got into the race, the recall would NEVER pass.

That's total speculation. There's no way of knowing one way or the other.

An argument can also be made that by veering so far Left, Arnold has split the party, thus making a "no on the recall" outcome more likely, as many Republicans would see Davis as a lesser evil than Bustamante.