[Poohbah]

First mistake: assumes that the LA Slimes poll is accurate. They admit to overloading it with "social conservatives" by about 10%.

Second mistake: assumes that everyone makes the perfect decision. This issue is related to the Prisoner's Dillemma. Assumes perfect communication within conservative community (not demonstrated to date) and will not reject McClintock for various reasons (including demonstrated lack of good judgement or good character, take your choice if which).

In short, assumes that the conservative movement will magically behave like the Borg Collective, where all conservatives will submerge their individuality.

This is actually an interesting revelation of how McClintock's supporters view themselves, view conservatism, and what their ideal society would be like.

It's interesting to see how many "conservatives" await their man on horseback...one who looks and acts suspiciously like Mikhail Suslov.

[tallhappy]

First mistake: assumes that the LA Slimes poll is accurate.

The same dynamic applies to every poll. Even more the polls that show Schwarzenegger with a lead -- ie pols you "like."

The key is not Schwarzenegger's numbers but Bustamante's low numbers.

The message is that Schwarzenegger is not going to win. McClintock's voters will not switch to him.

If conservatives want Cruz to lose, they need to switch from supporting Schwarzenegger. It is that simple. The numbers are there in any poll.

Do I think this will happen? No.

But it is fair warning. Do not blame McClintock when Bustamante wins.

Intransigence cuts both ways.