[tallhappy]

Real Clear Politics was Real Wrong in 2000 (far too optimistic on Bush's chances).

Yes. Same dynamic and same people saying only Schwarzenegger can win are in the same boat.

They are far too optimistic about Schwarzenegger's chances.

[NYC Republican]

Real Clear Politics was Real Wrong in 2000 (far too optimistic on Bush's chances). Yes. Same dynamic and same people saying only Schwarzenegger can win are in the same boat. They are far too optimistic about Schwarzenegger's chances.

Do yourself a favor and look at their 2002 Senate predictions. They were amazingly spot-on! Everyone had the 2000 Presidential election wrong... That's one race. Look at the big picture, RCP is usually very accurate.