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Patrick J. Buchanan Examines "The Slow Awakening of George W."
Washington Times ^ | 09-17-03 | Buchanan, Patrick J.

Posted on 09/17/2003 7:06:29 AM PDT by Theodore R.

The slow awakening of George W.

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Posted: September 17, 2003 1:00 a.m. Eastern

© 2003 Creators Syndicate, Inc.

Last July, U.S. Trade Representative Bob Zoellick delivered a halftime pep talk to dispirited globalists, thrown on the defensive by the hemorrhaging of U.S. manufacturing jobs.

"What ... a surprise," Zoellick railed at his troops, "to see that the proponents of [free trade] ... have so often abandoned the debate to the economic isolationists and purveyors of fright and retreat."

But by September, Zoellick's own boss seemed to be drifting toward the camp of the "economic isolationists and purveyors of fright."

At a rally in Ohio, which has lost 160,000 manufacturing jobs since mid-2000, President Bush railed: "We've lost thousands of manufacturing jobs because production moved overseas. ... America must send a message overseas – say, look, we expect there to be a fair playing field when it comes to trade."

Yes, friends, at long last, we have their attention.

What's behind this radically revised presidential rhetoric? It is this: U.S. manufacturing jobs are vanishing, and unless he turns it around, Bush's presidency may vanish along with them.

The numbers are breathtaking. Manufacturing jobs have been disappearing for 37 straight months. Not since the Depression have we lost production jobs three years in a row. Since 2000, one in every six manufacturing jobs, 2.7 million, has disappeared. These jobs paid an average wage of $54,000.

Unfortunately for President Bush, while he has a good heart, he was horribly miseducated at Harvard. He simply cannot comprehend that it is free-trade globalism that is destroying U.S. manufacturing jobs, and may yet destroy his presidency.

The serial killer of manufacturing jobs is imports, which are now equal to almost 15 percent of GDP, four times the level they held between 1860 and 1960. What has caused this flood of imports? The trade deals that people like Robert Zoellick negotiate and George W. Bush celebrates.

Consider the numbers.

In July alone, the United States exported $86.1 billion in goods and services. But we imported $126.5 billion, for a trade deficit of $40.4 billion. The total trade deficit for 2003 is estimated at between $480 billion and $500 billion. But the deficit in goods will run closer to $550 billion.

The president's father and Bill Clinton contended that every $1 billion in exports created 20,000 jobs. Thus, a $550 billion trade deficit kills 11 million production and manufacturing jobs.

Say goodbye to blue-collar America.

What is the Bush prescription for curing this metastasizing cancer? In Ohio, he declared, "See, we in America believe we can compete with anybody, just so long as the rules are fair, and we intend to keep the rules fair."

How, Mr. President?

Consider the nation that runs the largest trade surplus with us. In July, we bought $13.4 billion in goods from China and sold China $2.1 billion. U.S. imports from China this year should come in around $160 billion, and U.S. exports to China at $25 billion.

We will thus buy 10 percent of the entire GDP of China, while she buys 0.25 percent of the GDP of the United States. Is this "fair trade"? But how does Bush propose to close this exploding deficit? How can he?

Where a U.S. manufacturing worker may cost $53,000 a year, a factory in China – with $53,000 and using the same machinery and technology as a U.S. factory – can employ 25 reliable, intelligent, hardworking Chinese at $1 an hour.

If you force U.S. businessmen to pay kids who sweep the floor a $5-an-hour minimum wage, while their rivals pay highly skilled Chinese workers $1 an hour, how do you square that with the 14th Amendment's guarantee of equal protection of the laws?

Does the president, when he goes on about keeping "the rules fair," mean he will insist that China start paying its skilled workers $25 an hour and subject their factories to the same payroll taxes, wage-and-hour laws, OSHA inspections and environmental rules as ours?

Beijing will tell him to go fly a kite, Made in China.

It is absurd to think we can force foreign nations to accept U.S. rules and regulations on production and American standards on wages and benefits. And why should foreign nations comply, when – with their present policies and laws – they are looting our industrial base and walking away with our inheritance?

The men who have custody today of what was once the most awesome manufacturing base the world had ever seen are ideologues, impervious to argument or evidence. Like the socialists of Eastern Europe, zealots like Zoellick are beyond retraining. They are uneducable. They have to go. The sooner they do, the sooner we can get about rebuilding the self-sufficient and sovereign America they gave away.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Extended News; Foreign Affairs; Government
KEYWORDS: bush; china; deficits; manufacturing; minimumwages; ohio; trade; zoellick
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To: ninenot
There will be damned little effective retraining. The retrained graduates will be unleased into an easily saturated market.
301 posted on 09/17/2003 11:30:53 AM PDT by RLK
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To: AdmiralRickHunter
Free trade fools who babbled about low skill jobs being "jobs America can afford to lose" never wondered about a society full of idle young men hanging out at all hours.

You said a mouthful.

Now imagine a neighborhood full of 50ish men, unemployed and rather unhappy, all members of the NRA--with guns...

302 posted on 09/17/2003 11:31:34 AM PDT by ninenot (Democrats make mistakes. RINOs don't correct them.--Chesterton (adapted by Ninenot))
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To: RockyMtnMan
Trickle-down - An economic theory which advocates letting businesses flourish, since their profits will ultimately trickle down to lower-income individuals and the rest of the economy.

What about trickle-up economy? Where the prosperous middle class makes upper class much more comfortable than third world oligarchies could ever be? Well-off workers make also good consumers.

303 posted on 09/17/2003 11:32:53 AM PDT by A. Pole
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To: ninenot
Now imagine a neighborhood full of 50ish men, unemployed and rather unhappy, all members of the NRA--with guns...

---------------------------

That's one of the real reasons we need gun control.

304 posted on 09/17/2003 11:34:05 AM PDT by RLK
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To: Theodore R.
Unfortunately for President Bush, while he has a good heart, he was horribly miseducated at Harvard.

Didn't GW go to Yale?

305 posted on 09/17/2003 11:34:14 AM PDT by maui_hawaii
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To: ninenot
Now imagine a neighborhood full of 50ish men, unemployed and rather unhappy, all members of the NRA--with guns...

Man, those crazy NRA members and their guns, always out shooting up the town when they get unruly. Seriously, I would hope that if there were neighborhoods full of unemployed, middle-aged men, they would look at starting their own businesses and becoming productive.

306 posted on 09/17/2003 11:37:15 AM PDT by BMiles2112
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To: maui_hawaii
Didn't GW go to Yale?

------------------------

He went there, but he didn't inhale. Actually, he took guts courses at Yale, then went to Harvard finishing school. It prepared him to fail in his business, then take jobs on the board of directors of other businesses.

307 posted on 09/17/2003 11:37:48 AM PDT by RLK
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To: Texas_Dawg
You sure don't seem like much of a Georgian. Do you even know what time the game starts?

What years do you claim you went to GU?

308 posted on 09/17/2003 11:38:50 AM PDT by Lazamataz (I am the extended middle finger in the fist of life.)
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To: RinaseaofDs
If we mandate a $5/hr minimum wage in the US, and the Chinese, who have no mandate, pay their skilled labor $1/hr, then how - without using a tariff, can a US company compete?

Also the wage competitive with China is not enough to pay the cost of living in America. It is not possible to pay workers LESS than they need for subsistence. Even Ricardo knew it. Before this point is reached, something will happen.

309 posted on 09/17/2003 11:39:21 AM PDT by A. Pole
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To: Theodore R.
I posted this before, but a family friend, age 50, Pittsburgh PA, just lost his machinist job when it was outsourced to China. The man is now eligible for retraining benefits. The wife is now the main support of the family. They're raising a granddaughter, they have custody.

The typical American family of today.

310 posted on 09/17/2003 11:39:27 AM PDT by Ciexyz
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To: Theodore R.
bump for later
311 posted on 09/17/2003 11:39:56 AM PDT by ambrose
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To: hchutch
The workers' comp system is part of the problem, too. In PA, it's out of control.
312 posted on 09/17/2003 11:41:49 AM PDT by Ciexyz
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To: Lazamataz
What years do you claim you went to GU?

Haha. GU?

Are you trying to figure out who I am or something? No thanks.

313 posted on 09/17/2003 11:42:12 AM PDT by Texas_Dawg
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To: JohnGalt
No, before I answer your question, I'd like an answer to mine.

Just to show you I'm not a hard hearted guy, I'll give a preview of what my reply to your question will be:

A: I'm not dealing in conjecture here, but in regulatory reality.

But let's play pretend for a moment - what would be your economic measurement criteria for determining what $5 of US labor would be in China? Give me that answer and I'll give you mine. For example, what kind of labor do you want to discuss? Brain surgeon, welder, weaver of cloth?

Would you rather be in a Chinese jet fighter or a US F-15?

Or, how about we take a real world example: Rare earth magnets. There was a single place in the US that produced those magnets until a Chinese company bought them out. Those jobs are headed to China. Why does this matter?

Because rare earth magnets help the fins on a cruise missile adjust to the terrain changes mandated by its guidance system. We now source these magnets from China.

So there are strategic implications to free trade to that aren't even being considered here.

I'm not being rude, I'm being frustrated. It comes down to simple subtraction in terms of understanding why the playing field isn't level, and to realize that it isn't the company that is tilting it, but the government. It's just math, not ideology.

If the government wants my company to carry insurance, do diversity training, sexual harrassment training, have fire extinguishers, foot the bill for unemployment insurance, offer benefits, carry special insurance against litigation, and provide a safe work environment, then they can make trade policies with countries that feel the same way, or slap tariffs on those countries that don't.

Else, they can take all of those obligations away from me.

It's not my choice, it's GWB's, very literally.
314 posted on 09/17/2003 11:42:18 AM PDT by RinaseaofDs
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To: A. Pole
Also the wage competitive with China is not enough to pay the cost of living in America.

-----------------------

The wages of an engineer there wouldn't be enough to allow for my gasoline and automobile insurance to drive to work.

315 posted on 09/17/2003 11:42:57 AM PDT by RLK
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To: fortaydoos
What hi-tech jobs are left in this country are being given to foreigners via the H1B visa program which in reality has no cap since the exceptions are anything connected to education or non-profits, which amounts to hundreds of thousands more than the 200,000 yearly cap.
In 2000 there were 163,000 H1b visas and an additional 342,000 H1b visas issued in the exempt catagories. In 2001, it was 79,000 and 215,000 respectively.
Outsourcing, H1B and L1 visas, illegal immigrations, Nafta and Gaat, abortion and other anti family social trends are killing off Americans much faster than all the terrorist in history. What is the solution? You can't handle the truth ...or can you?

316 posted on 09/17/2003 11:44:03 AM PDT by TomasUSMC (from tomasUSMC FIGHT FOR THE LAND OF THE FREE AND HOME OF THE BRAVE)
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To: TomasUSMC
Outsourcing, H1B and L1 visas, illegal immigrations, Nafta and Gaat, abortion and other anti family social trends are killing off Americans much faster than all the terrorists in history. What is the solution? You can't handle the truth ...or can you?

--------------------

When you have a self-blinding committed ideology, you no longer need the truth.

317 posted on 09/17/2003 11:47:11 AM PDT by RLK
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To: Recourse
Ah, you forgot one thing, if you don't have a job you can't be a consumer. Don't consider a costlier widget worse than a american who has lost their job so that the widget can be made by slave labor in China.
318 posted on 09/17/2003 11:47:46 AM PDT by TomasUSMC (from tomasUSMC FIGHT FOR THE LAND OF THE FREE AND HOME OF THE BRAVE)
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To: RinaseaofDs
Or, how about we take a real world example: Rare earth magnets. There was a single place in the US that produced those magnets until a Chinese company bought them out. Those jobs are headed to China. Why does this matter? Because rare earth magnets help the fins on a cruise missile adjust to the terrain changes mandated by its guidance system. We now source these magnets from China.

Why the guy who sells a copy of a bluprint for such technology will be convicted for espionage and treason, when people who relocate the whole factory get the fat bonuses and praise for free market attitude?

319 posted on 09/17/2003 11:47:54 AM PDT by A. Pole
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To: A. Pole
Exactly. Paging Bernie Ebbers . . .
320 posted on 09/17/2003 11:48:46 AM PDT by RinaseaofDs
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