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To: Dog Gone
It's rare for the models to agree with each other that closely four days out.
251 posted on 09/12/2003 12:08:50 PM PDT by dirtboy (www.ArmorforCongress.com - because lawyers with a clue are rarer than truth-telling Democrats)
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To: dirtboy
Five day forecasts are basically worthless. They change wildly every 12 hours, or at least the models which NOAA bases them on do.

The key to this hurricane is something you mentioned earlier on the thread. It's whether the high pressure in the Atlantic holds, or is moved by the trough coming through the US.

This northwesterly turn that everyone assumes will occur isn't happening yet, and the longer that is the case, the more certain it is that this storm will hit us.

258 posted on 09/12/2003 12:18:28 PM PDT by Dog Gone
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To: dirtboy
Looks like the latest models have it getting caught in the trough and missing FL. Carolinas perhaps, but FL will dodge this bullet.
306 posted on 09/12/2003 1:24:09 PM PDT by ContemptofCourt
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