[Poohbah]

Arnold has dropped from 51% to 39% in less than a month in SurveyUSA polls.

Not unexpected.

Another month, and he and McClintock will be at parity in the polls.

IF the trend stays as it is, which it is likely to NOT do.

However if the 9th delays the vote (I agree it would be illegal but they'll almost certainly do it anyway), then Arnold is toast because he can't stand the media pressure for another 6 months because he has virtually no policies.

Sorry, kiddo. The Supremes will vacate an order that egregious, and they will also issue a stay on the 9th (as they've done in other cases), forbidding them from ruling on any aspect of the case without Supreme Court permission.

Arnold's only hope will be an immediate injunction by SCOTUS but I have doubts the Supremes will want to put their asses on the line like they did in 2000.

They will. Stuff THAT bad has to be killed instantly.

[Pubbie]

"Sorry, kiddo. The Supremes will vacate an order that egregious, and they will also issue a stay on the 9th (as they've done in other cases), forbidding them from ruling on any aspect of the case without Supreme Court permission."

How many votes would it take for SCOTUS to vacate the ruling?

PS: That's not the McClintock backers plan, that's the DNC in conjunction with the 9th Circuit's plan of action.

I, like most McClintock supporters, am just a spectator.

[Political Junkie Too]

The Supremes will vacate an order that egregious...

I tend to agree. All the prior suits have been tossed out. This one, before the 9th, is arguing that the punchcards will somehow disenfranchise minority voters, but I don't recall anyone making that argument after any prior California election. In fact, I would argue the opposite -- that Florida 2000 was a national training course on how to vote with punchcards. If people don't understand how they work after months of media reporting on chads of all sorts, then nothing can be done to help those voters.

-PJ