Posted on 09/09/2003 8:07:21 AM PDT by ScottinSacto
Bet Bustamante.
That's the advice of Las Vegas oddsmakers, who predict California voters will recall Gov. Gray Davis and replace him with the state's No. 2 man.
America's Line gives Lt. Gov Cruz Bustamante 4-5 odds, meaning he is so likely to win that a gambler who wagers $5 on him would win only $4.
Even money is on Arnold Schwarzenegger, but nowhere near the 7-5 odds he enjoyed before he skipped last week's candidates' debate.
State Sen. Tom McClintock is a 20-1 pick, followed by commentator Arianna Huffington, 30-1; former baseball commissioner Peter Ueberroth, 40-1; and Green Party candidate Peter Camejo, 50-1.
Hustler Publisher Larry Flynt, adult film star Mary Carey and former child star Gary Coleman are 500-1 choices.
Everyone else in the crowded field is lumped together at what some may consider a generous 1,000-1.
As far as Davis is concerned, America's Line predicts he will be recalled Oct. 7, despite his recent improvement in the polls. The money line is minus-400 for yes on the recall and plus-300 for no.
Citizens who cast ballots by mail are known for their loyalty in voting. More than 1.2 million voters have permanent absentee status, and hundreds of thousands more are expected to join them for the Oct. 7 recall election.
"The absentee vote is going to be very important, critical," said state Democratic Party Chairman Art Torres, whose party plans to contact 2.1 million likely absentee voters.
In addition, Democrats will send three separate mailings to about 300,000 voters who regularly vote by mail, laying out the reasons the party opposes the recall.
Republican Party officials didn't comment on absentee ballot plans, but the pro-recall group Rescue California kicks off an absentee voting campaign this week that targets Republicans and independents in conservative-leaning counties, spokesman Dave Gilliard said.
Going postal
With absentee voters expected to cast about one-third of recall ballots, campaigns courted them where they vote -- their mailboxes. Schwarzenegger has sent out 2 million brochures and McClintock, R-Thousand Oaks, has mailed 300,000. Schwarzenegger's message calls for ending the "outrageous car tax," enacting a constitutional spending cap and making English the nation's official language.
Path to obscurity
The recall's catapult of Bustamante into the national spotlight is fast pushing two wannabe California governors, Attorney General Bill Lockyer and Treasurer Phil Angelides, into obscurity.
The two Democrats have raised $10 million each for the 2006 race, only to find Bustamante flying far ahead of them with less money. Neither has endorsed Bustamante's campaign. To get back on track, both need a victory by Davis or Schwarzenegger. Lockyer recently stood with Davis at a Labor Day rally, but left when Bustamante arrived on the same stage.
The other Feinstein
In the medley of little-known candidates in the recall race, one name stands out: Feinstein. It's not who you think, but Dan Feinstein, a San Francisco visual-effects artist. The 40-year-old Democrat is a distant cousin of U.S. Sen. Dianne Feinstein, but he has never met her. He calls himself "a regular Joe" and said he understands the problems of most people, such as unemployment or the fear of it and the effect of raising tuition. Feinstein acknowledges he has no chance of winning but said he was making a point that a regular guy should run state government.
As an outsider from "Flyover Country", I must confess to a morbid sense of fascination as I watch California swirl closer and closer to the bottom of the toilet... I guess this proves the old addage about the people getting exactly the kind of politicians that they deserve.
Anglos (including Americans of African origin who speak either Ebonics or some form of English), Asians and legal residents of Northern European origin will have 90 days to arrange affairs and depart. No exceptions. All street signs will be changed to the Mexican dialect of Spanish, and all business shall be conducted in the same language.
There are just enough who given the choice of being ruled by a RINO or Mexico will choose Mexico.
President Allan Zaremberg, CA Chamber of Commerce, and Mike Baselice, Baselice & Associates, release chamber poll on recall election. 10 a.m., 1215 K St., 14th floor. Contact Sara Lee 444 6670. Also available to media via call-in. Contact Lee for number.
And being that they endorsed the Chamber endorsed its first statewide candidate in its history last week (Arnold), this should have a slight variance on the numbers (probably both AS and Tom McC will see a bump).
Talk about going from Bad to Worse, and I guess it's not bad enough for the folks in California to wake up yet.
"Viva la Raza!"???
McClintock needs to remember the Perot effect of 1992 and drop out. I would vote for him if not for the issue of illegal immigration, but Arnold in office of CA is a lot better than Cruz as Gov. of Aztlan.
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