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McClintock Key to Democratic Victory in California
Intellectual Conservative.com ^ | 9/2/3 | Bob Chandra

Posted on 09/02/2003 4:21:28 PM PDT by socal_parrot

A Democratic plot to boost Tom McClintock’s candidacy at Arnold Schwarzenegger’s expense has recently come to light.

On paper, the recall election should be a cakewalk for California Republicans. A cursory analysis reveals a governor with an approval rating below Richard Nixon at his low point. The only serious Democrat candidate is the state’s uninspiring lieutenant governor, Cruz Bustamante, who unquestioningly followed Governor Davis through his mishaps with the budget and energy crisis. It should be a breeze for Republicans, right? Think again. Democrats are euphoric over Tom McClintock’s intransigence in continuing his long-shot bid for governor. This allows Democrats to divide and conquer their way into office. Democrats are attempting to snatch victory from the jaws of defeat and Tom McClintock is an essential part of their game plan.

For starters, Democrats know McClintock cannot win. They know that he has ran for statewide office twice before and lost both times. McClintock’s problem is not so much that he’s unknown but that Californians know about him and have rejected his candidacy time and again. Knowing this, a Democrat plot to boost McClintock’s candidacy at Schwarzenegger’s expense has already surfaced. According to the Sacramento Bee’s Daniel Weintraub, “Ever since Cruz Bustamante entered the race, it's been assumed that California's Indian tribes were going to pool their money and do independent expenditures on his behalf, expensive ads that get around the $21,000 limit on contributions. Now I am hearing rumblings that the Indians might think about helping Cruz in a more creative way as well. If they spent, say, $4 million on behalf of state Sen. Tom McClintock, the most conservative Republican in the race, they might pump McClintock's numbers up while hurting Arnold and not harming Cruz a bit. Remember, Cruz needs a split GOP vote to win. That would be one way to get it.” The reliably Democratic Indian tribes, loyal to Bustamante, would essentially throw their weight behind McClintock to chip away at the support of Arnold Schwarzenegger, the GOP front-runner. The Democrat strategy with regard to Tom McClintock is: “If you know you can beat ‘em, join ‘em.”

McClintock is unfazed by this conniving scheme and is more than happy to play along. His actions suggest that he’s willing to make allies with loyal Democratic groups under the logic, the enemy of my enemy (Arnold Schwarzenegger) is my friend. On August 28th, McClintock and Bustamante went together before the California Nations Indian Gaming Association to pledge their support. Needless to say, money will follow. Whether McClintock knows it or not, he’s being used by the Left. If Democrat allies can keep McClintock in the game, they can put a cap on Arnold’s support. A recent Los Angeles Times poll shows Bustamante with 35% of the vote and McClintock with 12%. The poll indicates that McClintock will lose decisively but more importantly, his vote will ensure that GOP front-runner Schwarzenegger loses as well.

It doesn’t have to be this way. McClintock could see the light and do what’s best for the party – as Bill Simon did by bowing out of the race. Other than his new Democratic support, the picture continues to grow bleaker for McClintock. The Washington Post and Sacramento Bee are reporting that there will be a record turnout for the recall election. This invalidates the early calculus by McClintock supporters - that in a low turnout election, grassroots could carry the day. Further, the base is growing more familiar with Schwarzenegger’s conservatism – Arnold came out against partial-birth abortion, against gay marriage, and for a constitutional spending cap.

There comes a time when personal ambition must be set aside and self-affirming but false justifications for one’s candidacy need to be reexamined. If McClintock stays in the California Senate, and assuming Arnold wins the governorship, he and Arnold could play the good-cop/bad-cop routine to perfection, mirroring President Bush and Tom Delay’s efforts at the national level. Additionally, McClintock may be well positioned to challenge Barbara Boxer in next year’s US Senate race. However, if McClintock persists with his spoiler campaign and throws the election to Bustamante, it is doubtful he will have any political capital for a future race.

But assuming things stay the way they are, with McClintock’s help, Bustamante and the Democrats may well pull off an upset of a lifetime on Election Day.


TOPICS: Front Page News; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: California
KEYWORDS: arnold; cruz; dupes; mcclintites; mcjeffords; plot; rats; recall; stooges; tom
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To: Canticle_of_Deborah
Hey, we didn't go to the DU, the DU came to us. Unbelievable with these Ah-nold liberal creeps. :-|
381 posted on 09/02/2003 7:07:06 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (~RINOs can eat my shorts - and you don't want to know when I washed 'em last~)
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To: Canticle_of_Deborah


"There you go again."

382 posted on 09/02/2003 7:08:23 PM PDT by Cultural Jihad
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To: Spiff
you drinking fmj's kool aide or some other fluid of his?

reagan was no dark horse conservative, but a guy with pop-culture name recognition and crossover appeal

arnold has never been a dem and always touted himself as a republican

sure you didn't leave an 'l' out of your login name? looking forward to tokin' free pot in the new aztlan?

MechaClintock and, by extension his entire herd, are bustamante's useful idiot contingent
383 posted on 09/02/2003 7:08:29 PM PDT by dwills
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To: Tempest
Label him all you want, McClintock was still the highest vote-getter of any Republican running statewide last year. I know you guys hate having that FACT pointed out.
384 posted on 09/02/2003 7:08:41 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (~RINOs can eat my shorts - and you don't want to know when I washed 'em last~)
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To: fieldmarshaldj
Label him all you want, McClintock was still the highest vote-getter of any Republican running statewide last year. I know you guys hate having that FACT pointed out.

Yep, and that won him which job???

385 posted on 09/02/2003 7:09:27 PM PDT by NYC Republican
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To: fieldmarshaldj
McClintock's stubborn little self-centered ego trip will not be rewarded. Arnold will defeat him and Cruz both.
He need not drop out.
386 posted on 09/02/2003 7:10:20 PM PDT by Vinomori
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To: fieldmarshaldj
McClintock was still the highest vote-getter of any Republican running statewide last year

And that is an indication he can win the highest office in the state? Let me help you out...NOPE.
387 posted on 09/02/2003 7:10:34 PM PDT by Registered (Gray Davis won't be baaaaahhck)
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To: NYC Republican

It's hard to argue against success, eh? ;-)

388 posted on 09/02/2003 7:10:37 PM PDT by Cultural Jihad
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To: Tempest
It's all you guys have left. When will your hate for Republicans ever end ?
389 posted on 09/02/2003 7:10:57 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (~RINOs can eat my shorts - and you don't want to know when I washed 'em last~)
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To: fieldmarshaldj

Lose the libel, outsider. You are exhibiting troll behaviors.

390 posted on 09/02/2003 7:12:03 PM PDT by Cultural Jihad
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To: fieldmarshaldj
I know another fact.

That was the SECOND time he LOST!

By the way, I just noticed how the LA Times is labeling Tom McClintock as a "maverick." Isn't that what they reffered to John McCain as???

http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&u=/trib/20030825/lo_latimes/mcclintockconvincedpersistencewillpayoff
391 posted on 09/02/2003 7:12:35 PM PDT by Tempest (If you lay off of Arnold, I'll lay off of Tom. Bustamante is the real danger.)
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To: Reagan Man
I have read this whole thread without commenting. I am ashamed to see you stoop to the name calling that has been prevalent in these arguments.

What happened to Reagan's 11th Commandment? And don't try dodging by saying that Arnold isn't a "real" Republican. He has been a registered Republican since he could first vote in this country. He has campaigned for Republican candidates, and has called himself a Republican in Hollywood when it was certainly not a help to his career.

You are not from Caliornia, and neither am I. This election does affect the nation however, and I will once again say why.

If Bustamante wins, or if Davis survives the recall, it will first of all make Republicans look foolish and as big a sore losers as the Goreons of 2000. In addition, California's economic collapse will continue, sending shockwaves across the country.

Then, when there is no other alternative, after raising taxes and having sunk themselves in the bond market, the democrats will DEMAND that Bush bails them out. This will happen right in time for the November, 2004 election.

Then we will have the same purists on here demanding that California be told to go pound sand, its all their fault, and Bush should stick to his principles.

It will probably cost him not only California's votes but maybe those in a few other states, and could tip the election to the Rat.

I have come to the point that I don't care which person wins, but it is vital for a Republican to win. I think McClintock doesn't have as good a chance because he can't draw any crossover votes, but at least I can say that other than my questioning of his campaign tactics, I have never said anything ill about him.

I know I said this last night, but I am trying to get people to see this election as more than just a personal "my way or the highway" moment.

And please stop calling people names. It makes your position look very weak.

392 posted on 09/02/2003 7:13:01 PM PDT by Miss Marple
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To: habs4ever
People from Tennessee had a RINO Governor for 8 years who lied to us about everything, including taxes. You could apparently learn from us. Or Illinois, or New Jersey, or Taxachusetts...
393 posted on 09/02/2003 7:13:07 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (~RINOs can eat my shorts - and you don't want to know when I washed 'em last~)
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To: socal_parrot
Tom McClintock is the ONLY Conservative Republican in this race. Tom represents exactly what this state needs to overcome the tide of socialism spewing forth from Sacramento. To date Arnold has refused to sign a "NO TAXES" pledge, that speaks volumes about Arnold as a governor of this state. Yet, Tom McClintock has signed that pledge. There should be no question who would make the better governor.
ARNOLD = BUSTAMEChA-LITE

Vote Tom McClintock.

394 posted on 09/02/2003 7:14:19 PM PDT by Duramaximus (Freedom Loving American Living In A State That Worships Socialism)
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To: Cultural Jihad
I'm sorry, but the Republican base is not supporting Arnold. Arnold and McClintock have entirely different constituencies.
395 posted on 09/02/2003 7:14:31 PM PDT by Canticle_of_Deborah ("Anyone who votes for Schwarzeneggar has a short in their system." - my mother)
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To: FairOpinion
I don't care who you are. Orange County lions club or the commie reds country club. A vote for Arnold is a vote for a liberal RINO.

A vote for Tom McClintock is a vote for a conservative Republican.

396 posted on 09/02/2003 7:15:15 PM PDT by Reagan Man
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To: Chancellor Palpatine; Canticle_of_Deborah
Sorry, dude. Without Conservatives, you got the MA GOP. Willie Weld's dream. Count how many Republicans occupy offices other than Governor up there.
397 posted on 09/02/2003 7:15:23 PM PDT by fieldmarshaldj (~RINOs can eat my shorts - and you don't want to know when I washed 'em last~)
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To: Cultural Jihad; KellyAdmirer
KA's analysis pointed out a major major problem: that one group would never ever vote for the same candidate as another group.

Actually, this is why Republicans don't win state wide offices in California. This is a problem, but it doesn't have to be that way. The whole point should be that all conservative, moderate, liberal Republicans should unite and have all of them support the candidate who can beat the Democrat candidate.

If the various groups would unite, those numbers add up.

If you have 35% Arnold, 12% McC and 45% Bustamante on Oct. 7, Bustamante wins and it's because of the split Republican vote. Clearly, if the McClintock voters would unite behind Arnold, then Arnold would get 47% to Bustamante's 45% and we all win, and Bustamante loses.

It is simple math.
398 posted on 09/02/2003 7:15:50 PM PDT by FairOpinion
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To: George W. Bush
I'd prefer to let Cali simmer under Dim management if we can't elect a conservative.

And thanks to your type we got 8 years of Clinton and still had to fight like @#$% to avoid Gore. "Simmering" never works - once the RATs are in control, they take things way farther to the left than we ever have a chance of reversing.

399 posted on 09/02/2003 7:16:05 PM PDT by Spyder (Just another day in Paradise)
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To: jmstein7
I can't wait to remind them of this the day after the election.
400 posted on 09/02/2003 7:16:16 PM PDT by jern
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