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To: BigBobber
It's going to take 40% minimum to win this election.

No.... 30-31% max. There are 135 candidates and you can bet that there will be drain into odd places. Gary Coleman WILL get votes. The stripper lady WILL get votes. Edward Kennedy, Richard Simmons and Michael Jackson will all get votes. Not a lot but that slew of candidates will ultimately drain from the voter pool.

Arnold as already polling at 45%.

That's ridiculous. Arnold is polling at around 22-25% in the liberal media polls, he's probably a point or two below that among high-propensity voters.

The 45% figure comes from an automated computer dialer poll where children, felons, parakeets and trained monkeys were able to push the buttons in response.

59 posted on 08/29/2003 1:16:32 PM PDT by ElkGroveDan (It's time for Arnold to stop splitting the Republican vote and step aside for the good of the party)
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To: ElkGroveDan
"That's ridiculous. Arnold is polling at around 22-25% in the liberal media polls, he's probably a point or two below that among high-propensity voters."

Well here is the source(http://www.surveyusa.com/currentelectionpolls.html). This was a recent random phone call survey of HIGHLY LIKELY VOTERS. Sponsered by TV stations across the state. Your vaunted porn publisher and short TV star do not make a wrinkle in the outcome. Nor will they.

Don't believe the liberal hype. This is between Ahnold and Cruz

Survey USA Governor Replacement 8/26/2003

Schwarzenegger 45%
Bustamante 29%
McClintock 11%
Ueberroth 6%
Huffington 3%
Other 4%
Undecided 2%

Data Collected: 8/23/03 - 8/25/03

Geography: State of California
Universe: 572 Certain Voters
Margin of Error 4.2%
Client: KABC-TV Los Angeles, KGTV-TV San Diego, KPIX-TV San Fancisco, KXTV-TV Sacramento

75 posted on 08/29/2003 2:59:30 PM PDT by BigBobber
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To: ElkGroveDan
That's why Arnold scores so high in USA is
that so many no voters respond.

And among nonvoters Arnold would get almost
all votes since he would be the only guy
non voter types would have even heard of.
140 posted on 08/29/2003 4:15:38 PM PDT by Princeliberty
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To: ElkGroveDan
Its first poll showed Arnold at 51 and McClintock
at 4. and this one 45 and 11.

When they had McClintock at 4 he was really at 9
so when then show him at 11 he may already be in the
20s.

Should have a new poll out this weekend.
And I bet it at least shows McClintock real
close to Arnold.
146 posted on 08/29/2003 4:18:24 PM PDT by Princeliberty
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