I'm getting so tired of this. There are 135 choices, OK? The winner is going to get about 26%. Turnout in special election is going to be low, so lets say as many people will vote as voted last November, that would be about 8.5 million. So the winnner will need 2.2 million votes.
Last November 3.2 million people voted for McClintock for Controller. It's not unreasonable to assume that the same people might vote for McClintock. You can even throw away a million voters and McClintock would still get the 2.2 million that would amount to 26%. If even fewer Davis Democrats turnout, which is highly likely (lots of people go to hangings, but family members usually stay home) it becomes even easier for McClintock to hit 26% or 30%.
The winner is going to get more than that. Dems make up over 40% of the electorate, and have one candidate, Bustamecha. He will have the labor unions and Mexican political organizations working overtime to get out the vote. The reality is he will probably get about 35-40% or more. The only other candidate who can possible attract enough conservatives and independents to beat him is Arnold. At most McClintock will draw 12-15%, maybe just enough to hand this to Bustamecha.
Sure it is. Most people who voted for him really didn't know anything about him except that he was the only choice with an R next to his name. That's ture of most candidates for offices other than Gov or Senate. In this election that's not the case. Most of those voters are going to vote for Arnold.
WHAT WAS THAT??? CAN YOU SPEAK UP???
DID YOU SAY WATCH OUT FOR RINOS???
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WHAT RINOS???
(...rumbling....rumbling....rumbling....)
DD